THE EARLY PHOENIX
Aug 28, 2024
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★ ISRAEL & PALESTINIAN TERRITORIES
Israeli Army Launches Largest West Bank Operation Since 2002
The Israeli army has launched its largest military operation in the northern West Bank since 2002′s Operation Defensive Shield. The operation, called “summer camps,” targets armed groups in Jenin and Tulkarm and is planned to last several days. Israeli forces, including Shin Bet, aim to arrest suspects and dismantle militant infrastructure within refugee camps. So far, the operation has resulted in the deaths of 11 Palestinians, with clashes ongoing between Israeli forces and the Islamic Jihad Movement’s “Jerusalem Brigades.” This operation came after Iran has established and armed militias in the West Bank, including PIJ, Hamas, and Fatah members, aiming to create a new front against Israel. These groups have been operating for over three years, conducting attacks on Israeli targets. Iran’s strategic goal is to surround Israel with active fronts, using an arms route through Lebanon and Jordan to flood the West Bank with weaponry. The Palestinian Authority’s failure to dismantle these militias allows Iran to build a small army, heightening fears of future large-scale attacks.
Israel, U.S., Egypt, Qatar Continue Complex Ceasefire Talks in Doha
Israel’s technical team, including Mossad, military, and Shin Bet, will arrive in Doha Wednesday to continue Gaza ceasefire talks. The discussions involve Egypt, Qatar, the U.S., and Israel, aiming to secure a ceasefire in Gaza and negotiate a prisoner exchange. Senior U.S. Middle East adviser Brett McGurk engaged in talks with Qatari officials after recent failed negotiations in Cairo. Despite mediation efforts, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s added conditions have complicated negotiations, highlighting the challenges of reaching an agreement.
Israeli Hostage Rescued After 326 Days in Gaza Captivity
Israeli forces rescued Qaid Farhan Alkadi, held captive in Gaza for 326 days, marking a significant breakthrough in the conflict. Alkadi, 52, was found in an underground tunnel, becoming the first hostage discovered alive in such conditions. This brings the total number of hostages freed to eight since the October 7 attack, which sparked the war. While his rescue offers hope, it underscores the suffering of those still captive. Alkadi urged intensified efforts to secure their release.
Israel Prevented from Receiving Weapons as Namibia Blocks Ship’s Entry
Israel was targeted in a move by Namibia, blocking the vessel “MV Catherine” from docking due to suspicions of carrying weapons. Departing from Vietnam, the ship aimed to dock at Walvis Bay before heading north through the Mediterranean via the Strait of Gibraltar. Namibian Justice Minister Yvonne Dausab reported the ship contained “explosive materials bound for Israel,” prompting the action. Human rights groups expressed concerns that allowing the ship to dock could implicate Namibia in potential human rights violations. Dausab emphasized Namibia’s commitment to not supporting or being complicit in Israeli war crimes.
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★ ISRAEL-HEZBOLLAH CRISIS
5. Hezbollah Member, Islamic Jihad Fighters Killed in Israeli Drone Strikes
Hezbollah and Islamic Jihad members were killed by Israeli drone strikes on the Damascus-Beirut road near the Syrian-Lebanese border. The drone attack targeted a vehicle transporting either Hezbollah missiles or a missile platform, killing four occupants. Conflicting reports suggest the vehicle carried both Hezbollah and Islamic Jihad operatives near the Syrian-Lebanese border.
Hezbollah Drone Attack Injures Israeli Soldier in Northern Israel
Hezbollah launched a drone attack from Lebanon, injuring an Israeli soldier in northern Israel, as confirmed by the Israeli army. The soldier was hospitalized after being wounded by the drone, which the army identified as a “hostile aircraft.” In response, Israeli forces targeted and destroyed a Hezbollah “terror cell” within a military structure in southern Lebanon. Israeli artillery also struck the Shebaa and Yaroun areas, intensifying the conflict. Hezbollah previously claimed responsibility for damaging Israeli surveillance equipment in the Al-Abbad site and other locations.
Hezbollah Loses Four in Israeli Airstrikes on Southern Lebanon
Hezbollah lost four members in Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon, while also claiming responsibility for two operations against Israel. The Lebanese Ministry of Health reported injuries from airstrikes in Majdal and Sheheen, both located in southern Lebanon. Lebanese sources accused Israeli artillery of using phosphorus shells in Marj, igniting fires near the Meis al-Jabal border area. Additional Israeli strikes targeted Tal al-Nahas near Burj al-Muluk and Majdal plain, with airstrikes hitting Nabatieh’s outskirts. Hezbollah also claimed it destroyed Israeli surveillance equipment near Doviv barracks using a drone.
Hezbollah Truck Targeted by Israeli Airstrike in Baalbek, Lebanon, Causing Explosions
Hezbollah’s truck loaded with missiles was targeted by an Israeli airstrike in Baalbek, Lebanon, causing explosions but no reported injuries. The strike hit the truck on the Ras al-Hadath – Shaat international road, located about ten kilometers north of Baalbek. One of two Hezbollah trucks was struck, leading to explosions that resonated throughout the area, according to Lebanese sources. A Hezbollah source confirmed the truck was hit, with munitions inside igniting and causing the explosions. No injuries were reported following the airstrike.
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★ IRAN
Iran’s Khamenei Privately Meets Zarif, Reinstates Him as Deputy
After Khamenei held a meeting with Zarif without the president, Zarif returned as Deputy for Strategic Affairs under Pezeshkian. Zarif’s return follows a pattern of brief resignations, having stepped down multiple times previously under former President Rouhani. His return was confirmed after attending another meeting between Khamenei and Pezeshkian’s cabinet, signaling Khamenei’s control over government affairs. Despite dissatisfaction with earlier ministerial selections, Zarif reaffirms his commitment, navigating Iran’s complex political landscape within the president’s office. This situation highlights Khamenei’s dominance over Iran’s political decisions, significantly limiting the president’s authority and influence.
Iran’s Ambassador Denies Defection, Calls Israeli Claims Psychological Warfare
Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon, Mojtaba Amani, firmly rejected rumors of his defection to Israel, blaming Israeli psychological warfare. Amani, in a social media statement, accused Israel of spreading fake news to create confusion and fear of potential Iranian retaliation. These rumors surfaced during heightened tensions between Iran and Israel, following the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, which Tehran blames on Israel. Amani’s response highlights the ongoing use of psychological tactics in the broader conflict between Iran and Israel.
Iran’s Khamenei Signals Distrust, Complicates Potential Nuclear Talks
Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, suggested cautious cooperation with the West while warning against trusting them completely. He advised President Masoud Pezeshkian’s government to engage cautiously, emphasizing distrust of the United States, particularly in negotiations. Despite indirect talks facilitated by Oman and Qatar, Khamenei remains firm on avoiding direct U.S. negotiations due to past deceptions. The Biden administration doubts the feasibility of renewed nuclear talks, citing Iran’s nuclear escalations and lack of IAEA cooperation. This skepticism reduces the likelihood of a new deal before Biden’s term ends, complicating the diplomatic landscape further.
Iran’s Non-Oil Trade with Neighboring Countries Rises 16% in Five Months
Iran’s non-oil trade with 15 neighboring countries increased by 16% from March 21 to August 22, 2024, reaching $26.857 billion. The trade volume amounted to 43.579 million tons, marking a 10% rise compared to the same period last year. The United Arab Emirates, Turkey, Iraq, Pakistan, and Russia were Iran’s top trade partners, with the UAE leading at $11 billion. Iran’s non-oil exports to these neighboring countries grew significantly, showing an 11% increase in weight and 19% rise in value. Iraq, the UAE, and Turkey emerged as the primary buyers of Iran’s non-oil exports.
Iran Appoints New Ambassador to Yemen’s Houthi Rebels After Irlo’s Death
Iran has appointed Ali Mohammad Ramazani as the new ambassador to Yemen’s Houthi rebels, following Hassan Irlo’s death. Ramazani officially assumed his role by presenting credentials to Houthi Foreign Minister Jamal Ahmed Amer in Yemen. Iran continues to recognize the Houthi rebels as Yemen’s legitimate representatives, ignoring widely accepted international diplomatic norms. Ramazani expressed his commitment to strengthening relations between Iran and Yemen, despite the controversial nature of the Houthi regime. This appointment highlights Iran’s ongoing support for the Houthis, reinforcing its significant influence in Yemen’s internal political landscape.
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★ YEMEN
Yemen’s Houthis Block Efforts, Risk One of Largest Oil Spills
Yemen’s Houthis are blocking rescue efforts to stop the oil leak from the Greek-flagged tanker Sounion in the Red Sea. The vessel, carrying nearly one million barrels of crude oil, has been leaking since last week’s attack near Hodeidah. Despite the imminent environmental disaster, Houthi forces are preventing a third party from approaching the tanker to contain the spill. The U.S. Defense Department warns that the situation could lead to one of the largest oil spills in history, threatening the region’s maritime ecosystem. This blockade by the Houthis further escalates the crisis in the Red Sea.
Yemen’s Houthis Remain Protected Under Biden’s Administration
U.S. military leaders, under President Biden’s administration, rejected a proposal for stronger strikes against Yemen’s Houthis, reflecting a cautious approach. Admiral Mark Migez confirmed that the Biden administration dismissed the idea of more aggressive attacks, considering them unsuitable. The proposal aimed to counter Houthi threats with increased force, but top U.S. officials, including Biden, did not approve it. Admiral Migez, overseeing operations on the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower, emphasized that threats from Iran-linked groups are managed by the National Command Authority and National Security Agency. This decision highlights the administration’s restraint in military actions against the Houthis, despite ongoing concerns.
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★ IRAQ
Iraq’s Islamic Resistance Group Claims Drone Attack on Haifa Target
Iraq’s Islamic Resistance group claimed responsibility for a drone attack on a vital target in Haifa on Monday evening. The group announced that unmanned aerial vehicles were used in the attack, highlighting evolving methods in regional conflicts. This incident underscores ongoing regional tensions and raises significant concerns about security in Haifa and surrounding areas. The use of drones in such attacks reflects the increasing sophistication and complexity of tactics employed by regional factions. Iraq’s involvement in this action may have broader implications for stability and security across the region.
Iraq and NATO Hold First High-Level Partnership Dialogue in Brussels
Iraq and NATO held their inaugural high-level partnership dialogue in Brussels on Tuesday, focusing on critical security cooperation. The Iraqi delegation, led by National Security Advisor Qassim al-Araji, met with NATO officials, including Tom Goffas and Javier Colomina. Discussions centered on enhancing Iraq-NATO relations, particularly in capacity-building for Iraqi security forces and addressing border security challenges. The dialogue also covered significant issues like drug trafficking, terrorism, and the situation at Syria’s Al-Hol camp. This meeting marks a pivotal step in strengthening the partnership between Iraq and NATO, aiming to address shared security concerns effectively.
Iraq Arrests 131 Drug Dealers, Seizes 926 Kilograms of Narcotics
Iraq’s Ministry of Interior announced the arrest of 131 drug dealers, including both international and local, on Wednesday. The arrests, made under judicial orders from the Central Investigation Court in Rusafa, reflect ongoing anti-drug efforts. Iraq’s Directorate of Drug Enforcement carried out security and intelligence operations throughout 2024, leading to these significant apprehensions. Authorities successfully seized 926 kilograms of various narcotics during these operations, underscoring their commitment to combating drug trafficking. The Ministry’s actions highlight Iraq’s determination to enhance public safety by addressing the growing threat of drug-related crimes.
Iraq’s Imports from Egypt Surge to Over $308 Million in 2024
Iraq’s imports of Egyptian goods surged to $308.55 million from January to May 2024, according to official statistics. This marks a notable increase from $274.07 million during the same period in 2023, reflecting a $34.48 million rise. The Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics reported this growth, highlighting the strengthening trade relations between Iraq and Egypt. Concurrently, imports from Iraq to Egypt also experienced a slight increase during this period, further indicating robust economic ties. This significant rise in exports underscores the deepening economic partnership between the two nations in 2024.
Iraq Hosts OPEC Secretary-General for Talks on Oil Market Trends
Iraq welcomed OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais on Wednesday for discussions on oil market trends and production quotas. Al-Ghais’s visit to Baghdad, following his trip from Kazakhstan, focuses on addressing Iraq’s and Kazakhstan’s excess production under OPEC+. From January to July 2024, Iraq’s excess production reached 1.4 million barrels per day, while Kazakhstan’s was 699,000 barrels per day. The two-day visit aims to evaluate these deviations and their impact on global oil markets. This meeting highlights Iraq’s role in ongoing efforts to stabilize the oil market and ensure compliance with OPEC+ agreements.
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★ SYRIA
Assad’s Regime Facilitates New Drug Facility by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard
Assad’s regime has allowed Iran’s Revolutionary Guard to establish a new drug production facility in Syria’s Deir ez-Zor. The facility, set up in late July, is located in the Al-Rawad Association area and controlled by Iranian militias. Connected via tunnels, it is managed by the Revolutionary Guard’s security office, with modern equipment brought from Lebanon by Hezbollah vehicles. This development highlights Assad’s complicity in expanding the drug trade within Syria, disregarding international efforts to stop such activities. The facility’s establishment further underscores the regime’s ongoing collaboration with Iran in illicit regional operations.
Syria: Iranian Drone Crashes in U.S.-Controlled Eastern Area
Syria’s northeast witnessed an Iranian drone crash in U.S.-controlled eastern regions, late Tuesday, according to reports. The drone, identified as a “Mohajer,” crashed near Abu Khashab, an area controlled by the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). Launched from a region under Iranian militia control, the drone was likely downed by SDF forces. This incident highlights rising tensions as U.S. forces recently deployed “Avenger” air defense systems and activated drone jamming technologies. The crash underscores ongoing conflict dynamics in Syria, involving Iranian-backed militias and U.S.-aligned forces.
Syria: CENTCOM Bolsters Air Defenses Amid Rising Iranian Threats
Syria’s U.S. bases saw strengthened air defenses as CENTCOM responded to escalating threats from Iranian-linked militias. Recent Israeli assassinations prompted the delivery of short- and medium-range air defense systems, drone tracking and jamming equipment, and other military reinforcements. Two U.S. cargo planes landed at the Robaria base in eastern Hasakah, marking a significant 24-hour delivery. The reinforcements include advanced air defense systems, military vehicles, weapons, and ammunition. This deployment highlights the increasing tensions and CENTCOM’s commitment to countering potential threats in eastern Syria. The region’s security dynamics continue to evolve as U.S. forces bolster their defenses.
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★ EGYPT & NORTH AFRICA
Egypt Announces Significant Oil Discovery in Western Desert
Egypt’s Ministry of Petroleum announced a significant oil discovery in the Western Desert’s West Faiyum-1 area within the Kalabsha Development Zone. The new well produces 7,165 barrels of oil per day with an API gravity of 44 degrees, alongside 23 million cubic feet of associated gas. This discovery has the potential to substantially boost Egypt’s oil production and enhance its energy resources. The Ministry is committed to expanding exploration efforts, aiming to further develop and strengthen the country’s energy sector. This find underscores Egypt’s ongoing focus on maximizing its natural resource potential in the Western Desert.
Egypt Nears Operation of $3 Billion Oil Complex in Assiut
Egypt is close to operating a $3 billion oil complex in Assiut, aiming to secure a significant portion of the country’s fuel needs. The Assiut National Oil Processing Company (ANOPEC) signed a contract with EPROM for preparing operational trials of the solar production complex. The project, now 78% complete, is expected to begin operational trials in 2025, producing 2.5 million tons of petroleum derivatives annually, including 1.6 million tons of European-standard diesel. This strategic project will reduce Egypt’s diesel imports by 40%, meeting the growing fuel demand in Upper Egypt and supporting local economic development. Completion is scheduled for December 2025.
Egypt Plans to Sell $3.6 Billion in State Assets, IMF Reports
Egypt plans to sell state assets worth $3.6 billion during the 2024-2025 fiscal year, according to the International Monetary Fund. This asset sale is part of Egypt’s strategy to secure external financing and bolster its foreign currency reserves. The initiative aims to provide crucial funding and support the country’s economic stability amidst ongoing financial challenges. This move reflects Egypt’s continued efforts to restructure its state-owned asset portfolio to address its pressing financial needs. The sales are expected to play a key role in maintaining Egypt’s economic stability and growth.
Egypt Hosts Eight Chinese Fighter Jets for International Cairo Air Show
Egypt welcomed eight Chinese fighter jets for the International Cairo Air Show, taking place from September 3 to 5. The Chinese fleet includes one Y-20 transport aircraft and seven J-10 stealth fighters from the Bayi Aerobatic Team. This deployment underscores China’s commitment to international defense cooperation and highlights its advanced military aviation capabilities. The participation of these aircraft in the air show marks a significant moment in Egypt-China defense relations. The event serves as a platform for showcasing cutting-edge military technology and strengthening bilateral ties between the two nations.
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★ THE GULF
Saudi Sovereign Fund Secures $15 Billion Revolving Credit Facility
Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) secured a $15 billion revolving credit facility, replacing a similar facility from 2021. The new agreement, initially set for three years with an option to extend for two more, supports general corporate purposes. The deal involves a diverse consortium of 23 international financial institutions from Europe, the U.S., the Middle East, and Asia. The PIF’s strong financial position is highlighted by an A1 rating with a positive outlook from Moody’s and an A+ rating with a stable outlook from Fitch. This credit facility underscores global confidence in Saudi Arabia’s economic stability and the PIF’s strategic financial management.
Qatar’s Trade Surplus Rises to $5.52 Billion in July
Qatar’s trade surplus reached $5.52 billion in July, marking a 2.5% year-on-year increase, driven by export growth. Exports rose by 3.9% to $8.29 billion, while imports increased by 6.8%, totaling $2.77 billion. China remained Qatar’s top trading partner, supplying 14.8% of total imports, valued at $412 million. Additionally, China was the leading destination for Qatari exports, with a value of $1.62 billion, representing 19.6% of total exports. This trade surplus highlights Qatar’s strong economic performance and solid international trade relationships, particularly with China.
Qatar and TotalEnergies to Approve Namibia’s First Offshore Oil Project
Namibia’s Finance Minister Iipumbu Shiimi announced on Tuesday that Qatar and TotalEnergies are likely to approve the development of the first offshore oil project off the coast of Namibia. The approval is expected by 2025. Shiimi emphasized that the project, once initiated, will generate substantial resources, with a significant portion allocated to a sovereign fund that the government plans to establish by next year.
Qatar’s Exports Increase by 3.9% to $8.27 Billion in July
Government data revealed that Qatar’s total exports reached $8.27 billion in July, marking a 3.9% year-on-year increase. Imports also rose by 6.8% to $2.76 billion, leading to a 2.5% increase in Qatar’s trade surplus. Last month, official data showed a 0.93% rise in Qatar’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year in May. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently stated that Qatar’s economic growth is expected to normalize soon after the 2022 FIFA World Cup boost. The IMF forecasts Qatar’s GDP growth to reach 1.9% in 2024, with a medium-term growth expectation of 5.5%, driven by LNG expansion and financial reforms.
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★ TURKIYE
Turkiye Reengages with EU, Attends Foreign Ministers’ Meeting
Turkiye’s Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan will attend an EU foreign ministers’ meeting in Brussels, the first in five years. The EU’s invitation reflects a renewed interest in dialogue, aligning with Ankara’s efforts to revive relations. The meeting aims to reopen communication channels, with Fidan engaging top EU officials like Josep Borrell and Oliver Varhelyi. Turkiye, an EU candidate since 1999, has faced stalled accession talks due to longstanding disputes and post-2016 coup tensions. This participation marks a significant step in reengaging with the European Union.
Turkiye’s Trade Deficit Drops to $7.3 Billion in July
Turkiye’s trade deficit decreased to $7.3 billion in July, down from $12.5 billion a year earlier, per official data. This improvement is driven by a 13.8% year-on-year export surge, while imports fell by 7.8%. In June, the deficit was $5.9 billion. Excluding energy and non-monetary gold, the trade deficit narrowed to $2.98 billion. Seasonally adjusted, exports grew 3% monthly, and imports declined 3.9%, reflecting Turkiye’s ongoing trade rebalancing efforts.
Turkiye’s Intelligence Chiefs May Meet Syrian Counterparts Amid Tensions in Syria
Turkiye’s intelligence chiefs could soon meet with counterparts from Syria, Russia, and Iran to discuss normalizing relations between Ankara and Damascus. This potential meeting follows lower-level discussions aimed at addressing key issues, including Turkiye’s demand for counter-terrorism efforts and Syria’s insistence on Turkish troop withdrawal. The U.S., meanwhile, imposes strategic restrictions on Turkiye’s actions in Syria, opposing any rapprochement with the Assad regime and unilateral military operations. Washington’s support for the U.S.-backed SDF clashes with Turkiye’s objectives, particularly as Turkiye continues airstrikes against SDF positions. In parallel, Turkiye’s National Intelligence Organization recently neutralized senior PKK operative Gulistan Tekik in Iraq, highlighting Turkiye’s ongoing counter-terrorism efforts.
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📌Related Studies
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Houthis’ Strike on Tanker Sparks Ongoing Blaze of One Million Barrels of Oil
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