Middle East Region Full Report
THE EARLY PHOENIX
August 27, 2024
Hezbollah Strikes Tel Aviv Provoking A Major War
Hezbollah – Israel War
August 27, 2024
Hezbollah Leaders Targeted as Israel Vows Continued Operations
Following recent Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon, Tel Aviv has reiterated its commitment to targeting Hezbollah and eliminating its leadership. Israeli Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi stated that the military’s mission remains to neutralize Hezbollah’s capabilities and ensure the safety of northern Israel’s residents. This comes after Israel claimed to have thwarted a major Hezbollah attack on Sunday, targeting missile launch sites across southern Lebanon. Tensions have escalated since the assassinations of key figures in Hezbollah and Hamas, raising fears of broader regional conflict involving Iran and its allies.
Hezbollah’s Rocket Launches: Retaliation or Strategic Posturing?
Hezbollah’s promised retaliation for the elimination of Nasrallah’s top mastermind of terrorism, Fuad Shukr, commenced and ended with comical failure. This result was achieved only 15 minutes before Hezbollah was set to launch the bloodiest attacks on Tel Aviv. Around 5 a.m. on August 25, a hundred IAF jets launched 40 preemptive strikes, effectively destroying thousands of Hezbollah rocket launchers.
Hezbollah continued its efforts by launching between 320-340 Katyusha rockets at eleven Israeli bases and IDF posts. The Israeli military noted Hezbollah primarily targeted northern Israel but also had objectives in central Israel. The missiles were fired across all fronts in a staggered manner, with strikes divided—10 here, 15 there, 20 elsewhere. The IDF Spokesman said “We thwarted most of the attack that Hezbollah planned and intercepted most of the threats that were launched against the territory of the State of Israel.”
Tel Aviv holds significant importance in the Israeli mindset, with warnings expanded to cover both Tel Aviv and northern regions. The Israeli public, currently on high alert, is treating all Israeli cities cautiously. Nasrallah emphasized that only Katyusha rockets were used, not ballistic or long-range missiles. Israel’s defense and foreign ministers stated they are not seeking full-scale war but are prepared to respond to threats from Iran and its allies.
Reuters reported the strike was coordinated through intermediaries, indicating some knowledge of Israel’s actions. Nasrallah emphasized Hezbollah’s meticulously planned operations targeted military sites, avoiding civilian casualties to maintain a moral high ground. He stated the retaliation focused on military intelligence sites in Tel Aviv, specifically the Gilot Base. Highlighting financial leverage, Nasrallah noted each strike cost $8,000 to $10,000, downplaying IDF strikes on launchers. He emphasized the psychological impact, disrupting life across Israel, including Tel Aviv.
Nasrallah claimed Hezbollah’s rockets successfully hit Israeli military intelligence and air defense bases near Tel Aviv, dismissing Israel’s interception efforts as ineffective propaganda. He vowed to continue resisting Israeli aggression, defending Lebanon, and supporting Gaza, invoking Imam Hussein’s legacy to fight with advanced weaponry if necessary.
Hezbollah’s rocket strikes against Israel, whether as retaliation or strategic posturing, undeniably provoked a major war response. Despite the outcome, Hezbollah attempted to attack the Tel Aviv region. Regardless of how Israel learned of these attacks, the difference between life and death for many Israelis was just 15 minutes.
Hezbollah Targets Israeli Warship, Killing Soldier and Wounding Others
Hezbollah’s missile and drone attack on an Israeli warship off the coast of Nahariya resulted in the death of Israeli naval soldier David Moshe Ben Shitrit and injured several others. The Israeli army confirmed that the attack was part of a broader escalation in tensions between Hezbollah and Israel. Video footage captured the strike, which targeted the 914th Flotilla during operations in northern Israel. Reports also indicate that Hezbollah may be planning further attacks on intelligence centers in the Glilot area of Tel Aviv, including Mossad headquarters and Base 8200. Israeli jamming systems reportedly protected Tel Aviv from these potential strikes.
Israel Continues Bombing Multiple Cities in Southern Lebanon
Israeli UAV strikes continued, killing an operative from the Shiite Amal Movement in al-Khiam. Israeli warplanes launched airstrikes on the outskirts of several towns in southern Lebanon on Monday evening, including Yahmor al-Shaqif, Arnoun, and areas west of Deir Seryan.
According to the official Lebanese National News Agency, the Israeli aircraft targeted the eastern outskirts of Yahmor al-Shaqif and Arnoun with air-to-ground missiles, followed by a similar strike five minutes later on the southern outskirts of Yahmor al-Shaqif.
Additional airstrikes hit the Alman area, west of Deir Seryan, as reported by Hezbollah-affiliated Al-Manar TV.
Earlier on Monday, Israeli artillery shelled the outskirts of Tair Harfa, Shemaa, and Naqoura, and Israeli drones targeted the town of Hanin in southern Lebanon. Ambulances rushed to the scene following strikes on Kfarkila, Taybeh, and other areas, indicating significant escalation in the region.
August 23, 2024
Eleven Hezbollah Members Killed in Escalating Israel-Hezbollah Conflict
Israel and Hezbollah continue exchanging heavy strikes, resulting in escalating casualties on both sides. Israeli strikes targeted Tayr Harfa, Ayta al-Jabal, and Aitaroun, killing six people. A significant drone strike in al-Hamadiyah near Tyre eliminated Saeed Diab, a key Hezbollah figure involved in the rocket and missile array. Meanwhile, Hezbollah launched an attack on Israel’s Aerial Control Unit in Meron and fired 20 projectiles at Safed. The IDF responded by shelling fuel depots in al-Hiyam. Hezbollah reported 11 operatives, including a boy scout, killed during this period. 432 dead for Hezbollah since the October 7, 2023 Hamas assault on Israel.
Tel Aviv Stocks Surge 2% Following Israel’s Preemptive Strike on Hezbollah
Tel Aviv’s main stock indices closed up by around two percent on Sunday, with the benchmark TA-35 index reaching a record high. The surge followed Israel’s announcement of a preemptive strike against Hezbollah, which reportedly prevented a potential rocket barrage on key Israeli targets. The TA-35 index ended the day up two percent at 2,091.6 points, having peaked at 2,091.91 points during the session, while the broader TA-125 index rose by 2.1 percent.
Hezbollah-Israel Escalation Forces Airlines to Cancel Beirut Flights
Amid escalating tensions between Hezbollah and Israel, several airlines have canceled flights to Beirut. Hezbollah launched rockets and drones at Israel on Sunday, prompting Israel to strike Lebanon with about 100 jets. Jordan’s Royal Jordanian suspended flights to Beirut “due to the current situation,” while Air France canceled flights to Tel Aviv and Beirut until at least Monday. Lufthansa extended its suspension of Beirut flights until September 30. Despite these disruptions, Lebanon’s civil aviation authority confirmed that the airport is operating normally, denying rumors of widespread flight cancellations.
US Military Presence Deterring Regional Aggression in Middle East
The United States has reinforced its military presence in the Middle East, including aircraft carriers and F-22 Raptors, to deter potential aggression from Hezbollah, Iran, and the Houthis. This deployment follows recent tensions after Israel’s assassinations of key figures from Hezbollah and Hamas, with Washington maintaining its strategic positioning as a countermeasure against further destabilization in the region.
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Israel Retains Philadelphi Corridor as Ceasefire Talks Progress, U.S. Airlifts Continue
Israel-Hezbollah Conflict Intensifies: Airstrikes and Rocket Barrages Escalate
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Israel Retains Philadelphi Corridor as Ceasefire Talks Progress, U.S. Airlifts Continue
ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR
August 22-26, 2024
August 26, 2024
Israel Maintains Forces in Philadelphi Corridor as Truce Talks Continue
The Israeli Prime Minister’s Office confirmed that the IDF will not reduce its forces in the Philadelphi Corridor, rejecting reports of any withdrawal as part of a Gaza ceasefire and hostage agreement. Despite ongoing negotiations in Cairo, Israel insists on retaining control of the critical border area between Gaza and Egypt. The talks aim to modify the agreement, but Israel emphasizes that no changes to the status quo in the corridor will occur in the first phase. Israel remains firm on its security stance as discussions with U.S. and regional mediators continue.
500th U.S. Military Airlift Reaches Israel as Ceasefire Talks Progress
The 500th U.S. military airlift carrying essential supplies, including armored vehicles, munitions, and medical equipment, has landed in Israel since the Israel-Hamas war began. Over 50,000 tons of equipment have been delivered through air and sea shipments. As military flights continue, ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas are reportedly advancing. U.S. officials, including Brett McGurk, remain in Cairo to facilitate the next phase of negotiations, focusing on the exchange of hostages held by Hamas and Palestinian prisoners in Israel.
Israel Declares Victory Over Hamas’ Rafah Division, Shifts Focus North
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant announced the defeat of Hamas’ Rafah Division, marking a significant victory for Israel. During a visit to the Philadelphi Corridor, Gallant confirmed the destruction of 150 tunnels used by Hamas.
Israeli Drone Strike Kills Seven in Gaza as West Bank Raids Intensify
Israeli drone strikes in Gaza City killed at least seven people, leading to the evacuation of injured Palestinians from the last functioning hospital in Deir al-Balah. Meanwhile, Israeli forces have intensified operations in the West Bank, conducting raids in Tulkarm and Idhna that resulted in multiple casualties and arrests. Over 10,000 Palestinians have been arrested since the conflict began on October 7, as Israel escalates its military actions in both Gaza and the West Bank.
Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar Hides Among Gaza Civilians to Evade IDF
Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar has reportedly been disguising himself as a woman while hiding among Gaza’s civilian population to avoid detection by Israeli forces. Sinwar, who took over as Hamas’s overall leader after Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in Tehran, has been moving between various hiding places in Gaza. Israeli intelligence suggests he has occasionally left Hamas’s tunnel network, fearing detection through electronic communications. Sinwar is now relying on human couriers to communicate as Israel intensifies efforts to locate and eliminate him.
Hamas Publishes Video of M-90 Rocket Launch as IDF Responds
Hamas’s military wing released a video documenting the launch of an M-90 rocket aimed at Rishon LeZion. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed the rocket launcher was destroyed shortly after the launch. The IDF’s rapid destruction of the launcher highlights Israel’s focus on maintaining security. No further details were provided regarding casualties or additional operations linked to this rocket launch.
IDF Discovers Weapons Stash in Gaza Apartment During Operations
During operations in Deir al-Balah, Gaza, IDF forces from the 202nd Battalion discovered a stash of weapons, including anti-tank missiles, military vests, munitions, and knives, hidden next to a baby’s crib in a residential apartment. Additionally, the IDF’s Yahalom Unit and the 603rd Battalion destroyed a 700-meter-long Hamas tunnel. These discoveries are part of the IDF’s expanded operations, which have resulted in the elimination of dozens of Hamas terrorists and over 100 aerial strikes on terror targets in the past two weeks.
Abu Mazen Arrives in Saudi Arabia for Unplanned Visit
Palestinian Authority Chairman Abu Mazen arrived in Saudi Arabia for an unexpected meeting with Saudi leaders. He was accompanied by PLO Working Committee Secretary General Hossein al-Sheikh and Palestinian intelligence head Majed Faraj. Abu Mazen is expected to meet with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman for discussions that have drawn significant attention in regional diplomatic circles. The unplanned nature of the visit has sparked speculation about possible developments in Saudi-Palestinian relations. No official details about the visit’s purpose have been released.
August 25, 2024
Israel-Egypt Tensions Rise Over Philadelphi Route in Ceasefire Talks
Israel has solidified control over the Philadelphi Route, a vital corridor on the Gaza-Egypt border, during military operations. The IDF began constructing infrastructure, including a road, to establish a lasting presence while neutralizing many Hamas smuggling tunnels. Egypt, concerned about potential violations of peace agreements, demanded Israel relinquish control of the Philadelphi Border Crossing during ceasefire talks with Hamas. Egyptian mediators are urging Israel to reduce its military presence, but Prime Minister Netanyahu insists on maintaining control to prevent Hamas from rearming. This issue has become a major obstacle in ceasefire negotiations, with tensions between Israel and Egypt escalating over the Philadelphi Route’s strategic importance.
Hamas Claims Responsibility for M-90 Rocket Launch as IDF Sounds Sirens
Senior Hamas officials confirmed no breakthrough in ceasefire talks in Cairo. Hamas’s military wing claimed responsibility for launching an M-90 rocket toward Tel Aviv. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported sirens sounding in Rishon LeTsiyon, central Israel, following the launch. This exchange of hostilities highlights the challenges of achieving a ceasefire, as both sides remain firmly entrenched in their positions amid ongoing conflict.
August 24, 2024
IDF and Hamas Heavy Clashes Continue Despite Ceasefire Talks
Heavy clashes persisted between the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and Hamas despite ongoing ceasefire talks. Al Jazeera, citing medical sources, reported that 71 Palestinians were killed in Southern Gaza due to Israeli strikes, with violence particularly intense around the Deir al-Balah area. The death toll of Palestinians has surged dramatically, with more than 40,400 fatalities reported since the conflict began.
August 23, 2024
Israeli Strikes and Evacuations Cause Mass Displacement in Gaza
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) targeted the Al-Qudsia outpost of Hamas in western Khan Yunis, resulting in 50 Palestinian casualties. Later in the day, the IDF issued its 12th evacuation order within a week, displacing over 250,000 people. The northern Gaza evacuation followed rocket fire from the area, forcing mass displacement with no safe refuge. As Israeli forces advanced, Gaza’s Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital in Deir al-Balah began emptying, with patients and shelter-seekers fearing they might be caught in the fighting. Israeli airstrikes on Gaza City and Khan Yunis killed at least 19 people, while fighting resumed between Israel and Hezbollah across the Lebanon border. The United Nations reported that Israeli evacuation orders now cover 84% of Gaza’s territory, displacing approximately 90% of the population.
Hamas Delegation Arrives in Cairo as Hostage Talks Face Disputes
Hamas sent a delegation to Cairo to receive briefings on ceasefire-for-hostages negotiations, refusing direct participation. Egyptian mediators are addressing disputes between Israel and Hamas, particularly control over the Philadelphi Border Crossing and Corridor. Israel insists on maintaining a military presence to prevent Hamas from rearming, while Egypt and Hamas demand a full Israeli withdrawal. Nationwide rallies in Israel continue to pressure the government to secure a deal to bring hostages home.
Biden Pressures Netanyahu to Adjust Philadelphi Corridor Presence During Talks
President Biden urged Prime Minister Netanyahu to partially withdraw Israeli forces from the Philadelphi Corridor to facilitate a ceasefire and hostage-release deal. Netanyahu agreed to reposition one IDF post, allowing U.S. support for Israel’s broader military deployment. However, Egypt’s opposition to Israel’s continued presence complicates negotiations with Hamas. Meanwhile, Israeli negotiators in Cairo, led by Mossad chief David Barnea, face significant disagreements over Israel’s insistence on maintaining IDF control of the Philadelphi Corridor. Hamas demands a full withdrawal, creating an impasse that risks jeopardizing talks.
Israel Declares Victory Over Hamas’ Philadelphi Division, Shifts Focus North
On August 22, 2024, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant announced the defeat of Hamas’ Philadelphi Division, marking a significant strategic victory for Israel. During a tour of the Philadelphi Corridor along the Gaza-Egypt border, Gallant confirmed the destruction of 150 tunnels in southern Gaza, with orders to eliminate the remaining few. With military objectives in Gaza largely achieved, Israel is now shifting its focus to the northern front, where tensions with Hezbollah have escalated since October 2023.
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Editorial Commentary
In October 2023, Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and the Iraqi militias, along with the logistical, training, and captagon services provided by Assad in Syria, Iran launched its envisioned holy war against the Jewish State. The 40,400+ death toll of Palestinians as a result of this war, unprecedented in any operations Israel has ever launched, underscores that this bloodbath was initiated by none other than Iran. On October 7, 2023, Hamas’s ‘freedom fighters’ under the direction of Iran raped, mutilated, burnt children alive, decapitated men, and caused Israel’s 9/11 in less than 12 hours. What would Iranian-led Hamas have done to Israelis if it had the upper power in the last eleven brutal months?
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Houthis’ Strike on Tanker Sparks Ongoing Blaze of One Million Barrels of Oil
Yemen’s Houthis
August 27, 2024
Houthi Attack on Greek Ship in the Red Sea: Major Environmental Risk
The Greek-flagged vessel Sounion was attacked by Yemen’s Houthi group on August 23, resulting in a fire that continues to burn. The European Union’s maritime mission (EMASOH) confirmed that the blaze persists, but no oil spill has been detected so far. The Houthis, in solidarity with Palestinians in the Gaza conflict, claimed responsibility for the attack. Satellite images show smoke rising from the ship, which is carrying 150,000 tons of crude oil. Fires have been reported in at least five locations on the vessel, raising significant environmental concerns in the region.
Yemen Shipwreck Claims 13 Migrant Lives, 14 Missing
A migrant boat capsized off Yemen’s Ta’iz governorate, resulting in 13 deaths and 14 missing persons, according to the International Organization for Migration (IOM). The vessel, carrying 25 Ethiopian migrants and two Yemeni nationals, sank near the Dubab district. Among the deceased were 11 men and two women, with search efforts ongoing for the missing, including the Yemeni captain and his assistant. The cause remains unknown. This incident highlights the dangers of migration routes from the Horn of Africa to Yemen, where over 97,200 migrants arrived in 2023 despite ongoing conflict. The IOM calls for increased international support to address migration’s root causes and protect vulnerable migrants. Since 2014, over 2,000 migrant deaths have been recorded on this route.
Houthis Claim Responsibility for Oil Tanker Attack, Raising Environmental Concerns
Houthi militants claimed responsibility for an attack on the Greek oil tanker Sounion in the Red Sea. The vessel, carrying 150,000 tons of oil, is at risk of sinking, sparking significant environmental concerns. The Houthis also targeted another commercial vessel in the Gulf of Aden. Houthi spokesperson Yahya Saree stated that the attacks targeted companies allegedly linked to Israel, accusing them of violating a ban on entry to Palestinian ports. The tanker’s critical condition has heightened fears of a potential environmental disaster in the region.
Houthi Drones Target Oil Facility, Challenging Economic Truce Efforts
On Friday morning, Houthi militants launched three explosive drones at the Safer oil facility in Marib, Yemen. This attack threatens to undermine the recent economic de-escalation agreement. The Yemeni Defense Ministry confirmed the attempted assault, stating the drones were intercepted before causing significant damage. The drones carried highly explosive materials, emphasizing the region’s ongoing volatility. This incident highlights the fragile nature of the ceasefire efforts and the challenges in maintaining a lasting peace.
U.S. Military Destroys Three Houthi Drones in the Red Sea
The U.S. Central Command reported the destruction of three Houthi drones on August 23. Two drones were destroyed over the Red Sea, while one was neutralized in Yemen. These drones were identified as imminent threats to coalition forces and commercial shipping operations. Since November, Houthi rebels have increasingly targeted vessels in the Red Sea and Arabian Sea, citing support for Palestinians in the Gaza conflict. Their attacks have severely disrupted shipping in this critical maritime corridor, impacting 12% of global trade. In response, the U.S. and an international naval coalition have implemented measures to secure maritime navigation and deter further threats.
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Opinion & Analysis
Contributed by Rania Kisar
Houthis Emerge as Global Threat Due to Tehran’s Strategic Manipulation
Yemen, traditionally a nation of happy and life-loving people, has been tragically transformed by the rise of the Houthis. Emerging in the 1990s, the Houthis were a calculated creation of Tehran’s Mullahs, who sought to expand their influence in the region. Through years of secret training and support, the Houthis gained strength and, in 2015, launched unprecedented attacks against Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The Obama and Biden administrations have unfortunately deviated from historical U.S. norms in the Arab world, weakening regional alliances. Between 2016 and 2020, under President Trump’s administration, the Houthis were significantly weakened, returning to their original status as an insignificant element.
However, the Biden administration’s decision to halt the Hodeidah operations—a critical move intended to liberate the region from Houthi control—allowed the group to expand its influence dramatically. Since 2022, the Houthis have intensified their aggression, becoming a significant threat not only to Arabs and Israelis but also to the United States, Europe, and global maritime routes. Addressing this escalating threat requires targeting its root cause: Iran. Without Tehran’s backing and inclusion in the so-called “axis of resistance” against Israel, the Houthis would be a manageable and easily deterred force, as they have been throughout history.
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IRAN
Iranian Hackers Allegedly Breach Knesset Website, Claim Data Theft
An Iranian hacker group named “Promised Revenge” claimed responsibility for infiltrating the Knesset’s website, purporting to steal sensitive data and sending mass SMS messages to Israeli citizens. They posted purported evidence of their access on their Telegram channel, showing screenshots allegedly from the Knesset’s internal network. Despite these claims, the Knesset’s spokesperson denied any data breach. The website experienced temporary downtime, showing a maintenance message while the Knesset’s Cyber Department, in collaboration with the National Cyber Directorate, continues its security investigations.
Meta Blocks Iranian Hackers Targeting U.S. Election via WhatsApp
Meta has intervened against a group of Iranian-linked hackers who were impersonating tech support on WhatsApp to influence the upcoming 2024 U.S. presidential election. This small cohort of accounts, linked to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, targeted individuals associated with the Biden and Trump administrations. The actions follow reports from Microsoft and Google about similar phishing efforts directed at these political figures, reflecting a coordinated attempt to sway electoral outcomes.
Iran’s New FM Rejects Reviving Old Nuclear Deal, Seeks Fresh Talks
Iran’s newly appointed Foreign Minister has declared the original 2015 nuclear deal, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), impractical to revive in its existing format. Citing substantial changes since the deal’s inception, he noted that while the agreement could serve as a foundation for future discussions, new negotiations are imperative. The minister, instrumental in the initial negotiations, also stressed Iran’s aim to manage rather than eliminate tensions with the U.S., prioritizing national security and dignity in its foreign policy approach.
Iran Detains 14 Daesh Members in Multi-Province Security Operations
Iran’s Intelligence Ministry claims the arrest of 14 ISIS affiliates across Tehran, Alborz, Fars, and Khuzestan provinces on Friday. Labeling the detainees as part of the “American-Zionist grouplet known as Daesh-Khorasan,” the ministry highlighted their external affiliations. These individuals allegedly entered Iran illegally, intending to execute terrorist activities. The operation successfully thwarted potential attacks, with seven of the members captured in Fars Province alone.
Iran Signals Retaliatory Strike on Israel as Gaza Ceasefire Talks Stumble
The Chief-Commander of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, Hossein Salami, hinted at an impending retaliatory strike against Israel, intensifying speculations of Iran’s planned revenge for the killing of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh. Despite ongoing ceasefire negotiations in Cairo, Iranian officials maintain their stance on Iran’s “legitimate right to respond.” Reports suggest the retaliation could coincide with the conclusion of the Arba’een pilgrimage, positioning Hezbollah for a possible attack in the near future.
Iran Faces Record High in Returned Checks Due to Economic Strain
Iran’s economic challenges are reflected in a new report from the Central Bank of Iran, which showed that returned checks hit a record high of 1,000 trillion rials (approximately $1.7 billion USD) in July 2024. This marks the highest volume and value of returned checks since May 2020, with 10.6% of all checks issued being returned by volume and 15.7% by value. Over 30% of these were in Tehran, signaling deepening economic difficulties despite last year’s reported 4.5% growth—driven largely by government spending and oil revenues. With oil production growth stalling, the IMF projects a slowdown in GDP growth to 3.3% for 2024.
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Explore the ACLS Archive for in-depth insights into Iran’s role in global terrorism.
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Syria
Assad Enables Hezbollah and Iran’s Anti-Israel Operations in Syria
Israeli airstrikes on Friday targeted critical sites in Homs and Hama, disrupting Hezbollah and Iranian operations supported by Assad. The strikes hit the Maarin Scientific Studies and Research Center in southern Hama, which is linked to missile development efforts. Additionally, Israeli warplanes targeted the 47th Brigade of Assad’s 11th Division and associated warehouses in northern Hama. Those warehouses have been occupied by Hezbollah and Iranian militias for several years.
Furthermore, airstrikes destroyed Hezbollah-linked fuel kiosks on the Safita-Homs road, causing significant explosions and heavy smoke in western Homs. Israel also targeted an air defense battalion near Umm Haratin, close to the Syrian-Lebanese border, further crippling Assad’s military infrastructure. Despite attempts, Assad’s air defenses failed to intercept the incoming missiles, allowing Israel to successfully strike all intended targets. These operations are part of Israel’s broader strategy to curtail Iranian influence and weapon transfers facilitated by the Assad regime in Syria.
Assad Forces and Militias Retaliate Striking U.S. Patrol Convoy
In retaliation for the Israeli strike on Homs and Hama the previous day, Assad forces launched an attack. Backed by tribal fighters, Lebanese, and Iranian militias, they targeted a U.S.-led patrol after it departed Al-Omar base on Saturday morning. Assad regime forces launched a second attack, triggering intense clashes with the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) across multiple areas. The conflict spread to al-Busayrah, Darnaj, Tabiyeh Jazira, and Hawiij, intensifying the ongoing violence in the region. The Euphrates River contact lines, separating the SDF from regime forces and Iranian-backed militias, are witnessing daily clashes. International coalition forces conduct military drills within their bases, anticipating Iranian militia attacks and preparing for continued conflict in the region.
Assad Highlights Syria’s Role in Regional Resistance Against Israel
Bashar al-Assad emphasized Syria’s critical role in the regional resistance, particularly in conflicts involving Israel. He framed Syria’s strategic interests as aligned with regional resistance movements against Western and Israeli influence. Assad did not explicitly declare Syria’s alignment with Iran but suggested a shared stance in supporting these movements. He described the global conflict as U.S. hegemony clashing with forces of sovereignty and stability worldwide. Assad noted Israel’s waning strength due to Palestinian resistance, highlighting its psychological impact on Israel. He condemned Zionism as part of a broader colonial project, suggesting its defeat would significantly impact these ambitions. Assad asserted Syria’s role in influencing events within its borders, resisting external pressures, and supporting allied resistance movements consistently. He emphasized resilience and internal development as crucial for sustaining Syria’s participation in regional conflicts, especially against Israel. Assad stressed that Syria remains actively engaged in resisting external influence and supporting regional allies.
U.S. Announces Killing of Al-Qaeda-Linked Leader in Syria
The U.S. military announced that it conducted a strike in Syria on Friday, killing a senior leader associated with al-Qaeda. The U.S. Central Command stated on the platform “X” that the strike targeted Abu Abdul Rahman al-Makki, a high-ranking member of the al-Qaeda-linked group Hurras al-Din. Al-Makki was described as a member of the group’s Shura Council and a key figure overseeing terrorist operations from Syria.
Assad Territories Struck by Israel from Jordan, Claims Iranian Newspaper
A pro-Iranian newspaper, Al-Akhbar, accused Jordan of enabling Israeli airstrikes against Assad’s regime by allowing raids from Jordanian airspace. These strikes reportedly targeted Assad-controlled territories, intensifying pressure on his regime, which plays a critical role in the Iranian-led resistance against Israel. The newspaper claimed Jordan’s actions are part of a strategy to undermine Assad’s regime by facilitating Israeli military operations. Al-Akhbar alleged Jordan’s Foreign Minister is distorting Assad’s image among Arab and European diplomats, obstructing the Arab Contact Committee’s work. This committee, including Iraq and Lebanon, was formed to help Syria address post-war challenges, particularly the refugee crisis. The report suggested Jordan uses its involvement to further pressure Assad, notably delaying a key committee meeting in Baghdad. These accusations portray Assad’s regime as facing coordinated efforts to weaken its standing, with Jordan allegedly facilitating Israeli actions against Syrian sovereignty.
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IRAQ
Iraq Seizes 100 Kilograms of Captagon Pills, Dismantles Drug Network
Iraqi authorities seized 100 kilograms of Captagon pills and dismantled an international drug network during a seven-day operation in Anbar. Intelligence led to the successful capture of criminals attempting to smuggle the pills from a neighboring country. This operation underscores Iraq’s ongoing efforts to combat drug trafficking and protect national security.
Iraq’s Gas Boost to Support Power Supply Involves New Collaboration
Iraq’s Ministry of Oil increased gas production by 50 million cubic feet daily to enhance electricity supply. Collaborating with North Gas Company, the boost raised Kirkuk’s gas-fired plant output by 60-80 megawatts and added 40 megawatts to Mosul’s gas power station. Deputy Minister Aziz Saber confirmed these upgrades, highlighting partnerships with North Oil Company and Oil Pipelines Company as crucial for Iraq’s energy sector.
Iraq’s Forces Destroy ISIS Hideouts in Salah al-Din Province
Iraqi forces, supported by American air power, destroyed three ISIS hideouts in Salah al-Din’s Tuz District, killing all occupants. The operation, 180 kilometers north of Baghdad, targeted locations used for attacks on security forces and civilians. Security sources confirmed the action is part of ongoing efforts to eliminate terrorist threats and improve regional stability.
UAE Exports to Iraq Increase by 41% in 2024
UAE’s exports to Iraq surged by 41% in 2024, according to Vice President Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum. UAE’s foreign trade reached 1.4 trillion dirhams in the first half of 2024, matching its annual exports in 2019. This increase, particularly in non-oil exports, highlights UAE’s expanding global trade role and economic resilience, despite modest global trade growth.
Iraq’s French Medication Imports Reach Over Sixty Million Dollars
In 2023, Iraq imported $61.184 million worth of pharmaceuticals from France, accounting for 4% of its total pharmaceutical imports. The imports included 487 tons of medicinal products and $6.665 million worth of human blood products. This trade is controversial due to Iraq’s first AIDS cases in 1986, linked to contaminated French blood, leading to a 2014 legal case against a French company.
Iraqi Victory Alliance Confirms U.S. Forces Will Remain in Iraq
Aqil Al-Ridaini of the Iraqi Victory Alliance confirmed on Sunday that the Iraqi government has not discussed U.S. troop withdrawal.He asserted that U.S. forces will remain in Iraq, calling any contrary claims by officials a “major lie.” Al-Ridaini highlighted that all Coordination Framework leaders support the continued presence of U.S. troops. Despite public statements suggesting otherwise, this support for U.S. forces is consistent. The confirmation underscores the ongoing U.S. military presence in Iraq amid political discourse.
Iraqi Oil Exports to U.S. Drop: Economic Impact Questioned
A recent U.S. Energy Information Administration report indicates a decline in Iraqi oil exports to the U.S. last week. U.S. crude oil imports averaged 5.452 million barrels per day, down by 171,000 barrels from the previous week. Iraqi oil exports to the U.S. decreased to 166,000 barrels per day, a drop of 17,000 barrels. This decline raises concerns about potential economic repercussions and might impact economic relations between Iraq and the U.S. The decrease in exports could signal broader economic challenges for both countries.
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Are you searching for a chronological archive detailing Iraq’s most critical events from 2022-2024? Look here: Journey Into History.
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North Africa- Libya
Libya Halts Oil Production Amid Crisis, Driving Global Oil Prices Up Over 2%
Oil prices surged over 2% on Monday after Libya’s Eastern government in Benghazi announced the closure of all oil fields. This move, including the declaration of “force majeure” on oil facilities, halted production and exports indefinitely, leading to a significant spike in crude prices globally. The closure comes after escalating tensions between Libya’s two rival governments: one in Tripoli, led by UN-recognized Abdelhamid Dbeibeh, and another in Benghazi, led by Osama Hammad and supported by Khalifa Haftar. The decision to shut down oil fields is directly linked to recent conflicts with the Central Bank of Libya, which intensified after the Presidential Council’s attempt to replace the Central Bank governor—a move rejected by Parliament. The escalating Middle East tensions and Libya’s internal crisis have raised concerns about disruptions in regional oil supplies, while expectations of a potential U.S. interest rate cut further boosted global economic outlooks and fuel demand forecasts.
Libya’s Central Bank Closed After Escalating Political Rifts
Libyan Central Bank Governor Al-Siddiq Al-Kabir filed a complaint, accusing a group linked to the Presidential Council of raiding the bank during a controversial leadership transfer. Despite this, a source from the Presidential Council stated that the bank’s management transfer to the new board was completed smoothly and peacefully. The source noted that a deputy governor will be appointed under Article 18 of Law 1 of 2005 until a new governor is elected transparently. However, the conflict over the Central Bank’s leadership escalated when a Presidential Council committee, led by Mohamed Menfi and backed by armed forces, installed Mohamed Al-Shukri as the new governor. This move contradicts Parliament’s decision to retain Al-Siddiq Al-Kabir, who refuses to relinquish control. The economic impact has been swift, with most Libyan banks halting services across the country. The Libyan Foreign Bank, responsible for managing oil revenues before transferring them to the Central Bank, has received warnings from international institutions. These warnings urge a suspension of transactions with Libya until the leadership dispute is resolved, raising fears of Libya’s economic isolation.
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North Africa- EGYPT
Egypt’s Gaza Talks End Without Agreement
Egyptian security sources confirmed that recent Gaza talks in Cairo ended without any agreement or resolution between the parties involved. Both Hamas and Israel rejected several proposed solutions offered by mediators during the discussions. U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan announced ongoing “intensive” efforts in Cairo to secure a ceasefire agreement. Despite the lack of progress, the U.S. remains committed to achieving a resolution and stabilizing the region.
Egypt and Israel Agree on Troop Withdrawal
Egypt and Israel agreed on an Israeli troop withdrawal from areas near civilian populations, as reported by Israeli media. While Israel doubts Hamas will agree to the deal, it remains open to further negotiations under U.S. pressure. The U.S. aims to finalize the agreement to prevent further escalation and avoid a larger regional conflict. This agreement is part of broader diplomatic efforts to address tensions and stabilize the Middle East.
Egypt’s President Sisi and Brown Discuss Middle East Developments and Stability
Egyptian President Sisi emphasized the need for urgent international intervention to prevent further escalation in the Middle East. During his meeting with the U.S. military leader, Sisi warned against opening a new front in Lebanon. They discussed coordinated actions by Egypt, the U.S., and Qatar to secure a Gaza ceasefire agreement. Sisi also highlighted the importance of prisoner exchanges for advancing regional stability and reducing the risk of escalating violence.
Egypt Reduces Budget Deficit to 3.6% of GDP
Egypt has reduced its budget deficit to 3.6% of GDP, as announced by Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk during a recent meeting. Kouchouk discussed this achievement with British Ambassador Gareth Bayley in Cairo, highlighting the government’s efforts to attract private investment. These efforts have significantly stabilized the economy, contributing to a primary surplus of 6.1% for the fiscal year ending June 2024. Revenue from the “Ras El Hekma” project played a crucial role in achieving this surplus. The finance ministry continues to improve financial risk management to minimize economic impacts on various sectors and citizens amid global and regional challenges.
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North Africa: SUDAN
Sudan’s Arbaat Dam Collapse Causes Fatalities and Disrupts Key Route
The collapse of the Arbaat Dam in Sudan resulted in multiple fatalities and severed a crucial route to Egypt. The dam, located 40 kilometers north of Port Sudan, failed due to heavy rains and floods in the Red Sea state. Humanitarian workers and activists are urgently calling for aid to the affected regions amid the devastation. The incident occurred during ongoing conflict between the Sudanese Army and Rapid Support Forces, exacerbating the situation. Sudanese authorities have not yet fully addressed the extent of the damage or the long-term impact.
Rapid Support Forces Threaten Parallel Government Formation in Khartoum
Basha Tabiq, advisor to the Rapid Support Forces leader, threatened to form a parallel government in Khartoum, citing military leaders’ stubbornness. Tabiq blamed the refusal to negotiate as the primary reason for this potential action to protect civilians. The new government plans to delegitimize Sovereign Council President Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and establish diplomatic relations. Additionally, it seeks to acquire military aircraft, advanced air defense systems, and create a banking system within controlled areas. This move reflects escalating tensions and the potential for further destabilization in Sudan.
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North Africa- Tunisia
Tunisia’s President Announces Major Cabinet Reshuffle Impacting Key Ministries
Tunisian President Kais Saied announced a major cabinet reshuffle, affecting 19 ministries, including defense and foreign affairs. This reshuffle follows the recent appointment of Kamal al-Medouri as Prime Minister, replacing Ahmed Hachani. Khaled Sohaili was appointed as Minister of Defense, while Mohamed Ali Nafati became Minister of Foreign Affairs, Migration, and Tunisians Abroad. The reshuffle also involved the appointment of three deputy ministers to further strengthen the government’s structure. Key figures, such as Interior Minister Khaled Nouri and Justice Minister Leila Jaffal, retained their positions, ensuring continuity amid these changes.
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Track the MENA Region’s event between 2022-2024 here
Related Studies:
North African Nations Tackle Health Epidemics, Egypt Expands Renewable Energy Projects
Egypt Strengthens Military Ties, Boosts Exports, and Expands Gas Exploration
Egypt and Eritrea Unite on Security, Libya Escalates Diplomatic Tensions
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The Gulf
Gulf Diplomacy: UAE Facilitates 1,788 Russia-Ukraine Prisoner Exchanges
The UAE successfully mediated its seventh prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine, releasing 230 captives, evenly split between both sides. This brings the total number of prisoners exchanged through UAE’s efforts to 1,788. The UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs emphasized the nation’s role as a trusted intermediary, reinforcing its commitment to peaceful resolution initiatives. The UAE’s mediation highlights its ongoing dedication to reducing tensions and advocating dialogue to mitigate the humanitarian impact of the conflict.
Gulf Trade: Saudi Arabia Hits $130.9 Billion Q2 2024
Saudi Arabia’s foreign trade volume reached $130.9 billion in Q2 2024, reflecting Vision 2030’s economic diversification efforts. Non-oil exports, including re-exports, grew by 10.5% to SAR 73.73 billion ($19.65 billion), while total merchandise exports slightly declined by 0.2%. The trade balance surplus stood at SAR 98.37 billion. Expansion in manufacturing, petrochemicals, and technology sectors contributed significantly to this growth. Challenges such as fluctuating oil prices and global economic uncertainties persist, but Saudi Export-Import Bank’s credit facilities bolstered competitiveness.
Gulf Trade: UAE Non-Oil Reaches $380 Billion in Six Months
The United Arab Emirates’ non-oil trade surged 11.2% in the first half of 2024, reaching 1.395 trillion dirhams ($380 billion). This outpaced the global trade growth rate of 1.5%, showing UAE’s growing economic influence. Non-oil exports strengthened, increasing their share of total trade to 18.4%, up from 16.4% last year. Exports to the top 10 trading partners grew by 33.4%, while other exports increased by 12.6%. Overall, non-oil exports jumped 25% to 256.4 billion dirhams, more than doubling the annual total from five years ago.
Gulf Finance: Saudi Telecom Shares Surge 9.9% in 2024
Shares of Saudi Telecom Company (STC) surged 9.9%, reaching their highest level since 2014, following the announcement of increased dividends. STC will distribute 0.55 riyals per share each quarter until Q3 2027, a 37.5% increase from Q2 dividends. The company saw a 9.8% rise in net profits, reaching 3.3 billion riyals, contributing to this investor confidence. STC also hinted at potential additional dividends based on future financial assessments, strategic investments, and capital requirements.
Gulf Finance: Saudi Electricity Secures $4 Billion Credit Facility
The Saudi Electricity Company signed an international credit facility worth 15 billion riyals ($4 billion) with a three-year term, extendable for two years. The financing will support the company’s general purposes and involves multiple financial institutions, including Bank of America Europe, HSBC Middle East, and First Abu Dhabi Bank. The deal reflects the company’s strategic financial planning and its ability to secure substantial international support for ongoing and future projects.
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Explore Gulf’s 2022-2024 economic, political, social events in ACLS’s Journey Into History archive.
Gulf Economic Gains as Gold Surges, Qatar’s Assets Rise
MBS Under Risk of Assassination
Biden’s Houthi Policy Shift Raises Saudi Attack Risk
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Türkiye
Türkiye’s Militarized Foreign Policy Expands by $1.76 Billion
Türkiye’s regional strategy manipulates military action and economic incentives to achieve its security objectives. Simultaneously, it leverages these actions to market the country’s military hardware to a global audience.President Erdoğan’s strategy recalibrated military influence by creating a partnership between the government, military, and defense sectors. This partnership has significantly reshaped national power dynamics in Türkiye.
In 2023, Baykar’s significant growth in the Turkish defense market led to exports worth $1.76 billion. These exports accounted for 32% of Türkiye’s total defense exports, which reached nearly $5.5 billion. This surge, representing a 27.1% increase from the previous year, highlights Türkiye’s efforts to nationalize and expand its defense sector.
Türkiye’s defense industry has become a significant economic asset, with drone sales alone contributing substantially to the country’s revenue. In April 2024, Baykar announced plans to establish Military-Industrial Complex production facilities in Ukraine, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia.
Turkish Drone Strikes Target PKK Leadership, Demonstrate Advanced Capabilities
A Turkish drone strike in Sulaymaniyah, Iraq, killed three individuals, including a senior Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) official. The vehicle was shown as precisely destroyed. Turkiye’s Ministry of Defense announced the downing of drones belonging to the PKK in the “Claw-Lock” operation area in northern Iraq. Additionally, the ministry reported that 11 PKK militants were effectively eliminated. In a separate operation, Turkish intelligence neutralized Abdul Hamid Kabar, a high-ranking PKK leader, in Qamishli, Syria.
These precise strikes not only serve to combat PKK elements but also highlight the capabilities of Türkiye’s defense technology.
Bayraktar Drones from Türkiye Aid Mali in Deadly Campaign Against Ethnic Tribes
On August 25, 2024, news emerged that Türkiye’s Bayraktar TB2 drones used by the Mali army killed dozens of Tuareg and Fulani tribespeople near the Algerian border. Those killed included 21 civilians, among them 11 children, who were gathered at a local pharmacy and nearby homes.
Supplied by Türkiye as part of lucrative defense exports, these drones are central to suppressing ethnic groups opposing Mali’s authority. Wagner mercenaries, supporting the Malian government, have escalated these attacks, implementing a “scorched earth” strategy to crush resistance.
Türkiye’s financial ambitions have led to the sale of these drones, prioritizing profit over the devastating impact on vulnerable populations.
The international community’s silence on these atrocities underscores the grave consequences of unchecked arms sales in conflict zones, where financial greed fuels violence and repression.
Türkiye Expands Influence with Advanced Drone Supply to Libya’s GNA
This weekend news also emerged that Türkiye has supplied the Libyan Government of National Accord (GNA) with advanced Bayraktar Akinci drones, significantly enhancing the GNA’s military capabilities.
These 5,000-kilometer-range drones enable precise long-range operations, and Türkiye is investing in infrastructure to support them in Libya.
The use of these drones in Libya’s civil war highlights the increasing significance of UAVs, with both sides receiving external support. This development reflects Türkiye’s expanding influence in the region through defense exports.
Türkiye to Strengthen Naval Power with MILDEN Submarines
Turkiye is set to enhance its naval capabilities with new submarines under the MILDEN project, as announced by President Erdoğan. This initiative is part of Turkiye’s broader goal of achieving full independence in defense production. Erdoğan revealed the “HIZIRREIS” submarine is expected to enter service in 2025. The “MURATREIS” submarine will follow in 2026, with the entire MILDEN fleet operational by 2029.
Erdoğan Positions Selçuk Bayraktar for Leadership in Türkiye
As Türkiye’s defense industry thrives under Erdoğan’s strategic guidance, focus shifts to succession. Erdoğan appears to be grooming his son-in-law, Selçuk Bayraktar, head of Baykar, for a pivotal role in the future.
Bayraktar, known for developing Türkiye’s advanced drones like the Bayraktar TB2, has significantly influenced the nation’s Military-Industrial Complex.
Selçuk Bayraktar’s success in boosting defense exports positions him as a key figure in Türkiye’s political and defense strategy, potentially preparing him for leadership that aligns the nation’s military and political future under his direction.
Türkiye Solidifies Influence in Palestinian Unity
Following Ismail Haniyeh’s assassination, Erdoğan reaffirmed his commitment to Palestinian unity and condemned Israeli actions in Gaza. After Haniyeh’s funeral in Qatar, Erdoğan hosted his sons, offering refuge and pledging Türkiye’s unwavering support for Palestine. Shortly afterward, he hosted Mahmoud Abbas, further solidifying Türkiye’s influence in the Palestinian reconciliation process.
Despite ongoing rivalries between the two Palestinian groups, this influence was demonstrated when Abbas, speaking in Ankara, pledged to relocate his administration to Gaza despite personal risks. Abbas emphasized the need for Palestinian leadership to remain united with Gaza, rejecting any division between Gaza and the West Bank. This pledge was directly linked to Erdoğan’s impactful mediation, convincing Abbas to reconcile with Hamas.
Türkiye continues to actively engage in Palestinian reconciliation, hosting discussions between Turkish officials and Fatah leaders on Gaza developments. Deputy Foreign Minister Nuh Yılmaz met with Fatah’s Jibril al-Rajoub to discuss reconciliation and recent events in Gaza.
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To find more information about evolving Turkiye’s strategies from 2022- 2024, click here.
Recent editions:
Abbas Gaza relocation, Israel Hamas conflict, economic challenges
Turkiye Mediates Ethiopia-Somalia Talks, Bolsters Libya’s Defense, Lifts Instagram Ban
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