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Middle East Region Full Report

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THE EARLY PHOENIX

 

September 5, 2024

 

ISRAEL & PALESTINIAN TERRITORIES

 

  1. Israel Confirms Full Withdrawal from Philadelphi Route in Ceasefire Deal

Israeli negotiators confirmed support for a full military withdrawal from the Philadelphi Route in the second ceasefire phase, despite Netanyahu’s call for a permanent presence. Mossad chief David Barnea flew to Doha, informing Qatar’s Prime Minister of Israel’s stance. The U.S. proposal suggests a partial Israeli presence for six weeks, followed by full withdrawal, aligning with the framework presented in May. The Philadelphi Route runs along the Egypt-Gaza border, making it strategically significant for both Israel and Hamas.

  1. Israel Kills Over 200 Hamas Fighters in Tel Sultan Operation

Israeli forces announced the killing of over 200 Hamas fighters in Tel Sultan, Gaza, during recent operations. The 401st Brigade, part of the 162nd Division, discovered weapons hidden in civilian buildings, including a bunker used by militants. In one clash, Israeli forces raided a building after being fired upon, killing militants and seizing weapons. An airstrike near a Gaza hospital killed eight Hamas fighters, including Ahmed Wadiya, who led the October attack on Netiv HaAsara.

  1. Israeli Soldier Killed, Five Injured in Jenin Operation

An Israeli soldier was killed, and five others injured during the ongoing military operation in Jenin, West Bank. Around 30 militants have been killed, and 30 suspected terrorists arrested. A 906th Battalion soldier died, with others suffering minor to moderate injuries. Israeli forces have reinforced their presence in the West Bank with Border Police, engineering units, and special reserves. Military officials warned that expanding operations in Gaza could jeopardize hostages’ lives.

  1. Hamas: Every Day Netanyahu Remains in Power Means a New Coffin  

Hamas warned that the fate of Israeli prisoners depends on halting the war in Gaza, saying they will return alive if the fighting ends. In a video released Wednesday, the group indicated that continued aggression would leave their fate unknown. Hamas stated that “every day Netanyahu remains in power could mean a new coffin,” referencing the recent killing of six prisoners. These comments followed ongoing but stalled ceasefire negotiations, which failed due to Netanyahu’s refusal to withdraw from the Philadelphi Corridor, sparking protests and criticism.

  1. U.S. Indicts Hamas Leaders for October 7 Attack

The U.S. has indicted five top Hamas leaders, including Ismail Haniyeh and Mohammed Deif, for terrorism and conspiracy to kill Americans. The charges stem from Hamas’s October 7 attack, which killed over 1,000 people, including 43 Americans, and led to the abduction of over 200. This follows the killing of American-Israeli hostage Hersh Goldberg-Polin in Gaza. President Biden vowed that Hamas leaders will face consequences, with three of the indicted leaders already killed by Israel.

  1. Graham: Trump’s Return to Presidency Means the End of Sinwar  

Republican Senator Lindsey Graham emphasized that former President Donald Trump’s return would mean the end of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. In an interview with Fox News, Graham criticized President Joe Biden’s handling of Iran, claiming Biden allowed Iran to act unchecked. Graham stated that Trump’s leadership would bring back American prisoners, warning Iran of consequences if they weren’t returned. The story, gaining viral traction across the region, highlights Trump’s belief that the Gaza conflict would not have started under his presidency and urges Netanyahu to change his strategy.

  1. Released Hostage Criticizes Netanyahu at Shimon Peres Memorial  

Liat Atzili, a former Hamas hostage freed in November 2024, called on Israeli President Isaac Herzog to pressure Prime Minister Netanyahu to sign a hostage deal. Speaking at a memorial for former President Shimon Peres, Atzili accused Netanyahu of standing against Israeli citizens who support the deal and labeling them as a threat. She stated that Israel has been “abducted by saboteurs from within and without,” criticizing Netanyahu’s actions for political survival.

  1. Norway’s Sovereign Wealth Fund May Divest from Companies Supporting Israel in Gaza War

Norway’s $1.7 trillion sovereign wealth fund may divest from companies violating its stricter ethical guidelines related to aiding Israel’s actions in Gaza. The Ethics Council identified one company for divestment and is considering others like RTX Corp, General Electric, and General Dynamics for supplying weapons used by Israel. As of June 30, the fund held $1.41 billion in Israeli investments across 77 companies, including those in real estate, banking, energy, and telecommunications.

  1. Hamas Admits to Killing Hostages, Releases Video of Slain Hostage

Hamas’ Al-Qassam Brigades admitted to killing hostages, releasing a video of slain hostage Eden Yerushalmi, and blaming Israel. Spokesperson Abu Ubaida said new orders were issued to guards if Israeli forces approached, accusing Netanyahu of obstructing exchange deals, which led to the hostages’ deaths. The video included Yerushalmi’s message to Netanyahu before her death. The incident is tied to Operation Arnon, which rescued four hostages but resulted in over 100 casualties, including Arnon Zamora. Hamas insists on a full Israeli troops withdrawal from Gaza. Meanwhile, the Biden administration announced ‘last chance’ ceasefire plans for Gaza. The U.S., in coordination with Egypt and Qatar, is focusing on securing hostage releases in exchange for specific Palestinian prisoners. The plan emphasizes the need to free women, elderly, and injured hostages while urgently pushing for a ceasefire and humanitarian aid to Gaza.

  1. Hamas Claims Attacks; Israel Intensifies West Bank Military Operations

Hamas’ Al-Qassam Brigades claimed responsibility for two West Bank attacks last Friday. The Israeli army reported a car explosion in Gush Etzion, leading to the suspect’s shooting. An attempted ramming at Karmi Tzur settlement resulted in the gunman’s death and several injuries. Israel’s Air Force targeted an armed cell in Tulkarm, killing one Palestinian and injuring another. Al-Aqsa Martyrs’ Brigades reportedly coordinated with local militants to attack Israeli forces. Large Israeli forces, accompanied by bulldozers, later entered Tulkarm as part of ongoing anti-terror operations. The Palestinian Red Crescent confirmed the injured were hospitalized.

  1. Israeli Airstrike on Gaza School Kills 11, More Feared

An Israeli airstrike on a school sheltering displaced families in northern Gaza killed 11 people, with more casualties feared under the rubble. Israel claims the strike targeted Hamas militants operating from a command center within the school. An Israeli strike on an apartment in Gaza City also killed two Palestinians and injured others. The total number of injured in the conflict has risen to 94,244. The Gaza Health Ministry reported that the Israel-Hamas conflict’s death toll has reached 40,786.

  1. Israel Strike Shuts Airport, Protests Netanyahu’s Failure on Hostages

A nationwide strike in Israel protested the government’s failure to rescue Gaza hostages, leading to significant closures, including Ben Gurion Airport. Tens of thousands protested after discovering six hostages were killed, blaming Prime Minister Netanyahu for their release failures. Some citizens support Netanyahu’s military strategy against Hamas, despite the outcry over the hostages. Israel’s largest union called for the strike, but some municipalities, like Jerusalem, chose not to participate. The demonstrations saw 500,000 participants demanding urgent government action on the hostage situation.

  1. UK Suspends Arms Exports; Israel Secures Serbian Weaponry

The UK suspended 30 of 350 arms export licenses to Israel, citing concerns about potential violations of international humanitarian law. Israel criticized the UK’s decision but vowed to win the war without British support. Netanyahu called the suspension wrong and supportive of Hamas, reaffirming Israel’s commitment to international law. Despite the UK’s suspension, Israel’s defense remains strong. Serbian arms exports to Israel increased significantly during the Gaza conflict, totaling €23.1 million in 2024. Serbia’s government did not comment on these shipments, labeling them “highly classified.”

  1. Israeli Schools Incorporate Iran Studies Programs By Ex-Shin Bet Experts

Navon High School in Holon has introduced an Iran studies program, covering topics such as the Revolutionary Guard Corps, Khamenei’s policies, and Sunni-Shiite demographics. Fifteen students will learn Persian, Iranian culture, and Israeli security subjects like intelligence gathering, counterterrorism, and threat identification. Former Shin Bet agents teach the program, providing students with deep insights into both Iranian geopolitical issues and Israeli security dynamics. This curriculum offers a unique perspective on the complexities of Iran and its significance in Israeli intelligence strategies.

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★ ISRAEL-HEZBOLLAH CRISIS

 

  1. Israel Strikes 13 Areas in Tit-for-Tat After Hezbollah Hits 4

Hezbollah fired 60 rockets at northern Israel on Wednesday morning, targeting Kiryat Shmona and other areas in the Galilee, striking four locations. In response, Israel conducted over 20 airstrikes, hitting 13 areas in southern Lebanon. Israeli strikes targeted Hezbollah-controlled zones, including Qabrikha, Kunin, Aita al-Shaab, Kafra, and Siddiqin, causing significant damage. Earlier, on September 4, Hezbollah launched rockets at Beit Hillel and Dishon, claiming responsibility for the attacks. In retaliation, Israeli forces struck Ramyeh, Jebbayn, Chihine, and Tayr Harfa, with additional strikes on Jabal Al-Rehan, Al-Khiam, Ras Al-Naqoura, and artillery shelling Al-Labbouneh. Two civilians were injured, and a UNIFIL contractor was wounded by an Israeli sniper in Ibl Al-Saqi and taken to Marjayoun hospital for treatment.

  1. Israel on High Alert Response, Hezbollah Resumes Rocket Fire

Despite a major Israeli offensive on Hezbollah positions, the group has resumed regular attacks on northern Israel. On Sunday, September 2, Hezbollah launched 30 anti-tank missiles and rockets, with 10 targeting Misgav Am and 20 aimed at Matat. The attack wounded three Israelis, including one civilian, according to the IDF. Vast areas in the Galilee and Golan lie in ruins, as Hezbollah’s missile attacks sparked devastating fires. Israel remains on high alert, with Hezbollah, backed by Iran, positioning over 150,000 missiles targeting the country. These precision-guided missiles, along with drones that evade Israeli detection, pose a significant national security threat.

  1. Israeli Airstrikes in Lebanon Escalate After Hezbollah Retaliation

An Israeli airstrike in Naqoura, Lebanon, killed two Lebanese nationals, targeting a UNIFIL contractor’s vehicle. Israel also bombed Marwahin, Al-Arush, and shelled multiple locations, including Wadi Hanin and Al-Khiyam. Hezbollah retaliated by attacking 12 Israeli sites, including the Galilee Brigade’s intelligence battalion and structures in Shatula and Manara. Israeli forces intercepted 40 rockets from Lebanon in 24 hours, underscoring rising tensions. Israel estimates Hezbollah’s arsenal at 75,000 rockets.

  1. Ex-Hezbollah Medic Accused of Spying for Mossad

A former Hezbollah combat medic, Mohammed S., 29, from southern Lebanon, has been accused of spying for Israel’s Mossad. Recruited through Facebook by a fake humanitarian group, Mohammed allegedly provided sensitive information on Hezbollah locations and Lebanese security forces. Lebanese newspaper Al-Akhbar reported that Mohammed was arrested in February and faces a prison sentence of three to 15 years. His activities included photographing shops, documenting roadblocks, and gathering intelligence on Hezbollah centers.

  1. Lebanon: Former Central Bank Head Arrested, Faces Corruption Charges

In Lebanon, ex-Central Bank Governor Riad Salameh was arrested linked to the “Optimum” case. Directed by Judge Jamal Al-Hajjar, the investigation focuses on alleged financial misconduct. Salameh faces charges of money laundering and corruption, which he denies. His arrest signifies potential progress in Lebanese judicial integrity. Investigations also involve several European countries. During this severe financial crisis, Lebanese depositors attacked banks, demanding accountability and the return of frozen funds.

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★ IRAN

 

  1. Iran’s Influence in the US Election and Disinformation Campaign

Iran is attempting to influence the US presidential election through disinformation campaigns and cyberattacks, according to a New York Times report. Tehran’s efforts target both former President Donald Trump and current US leadership, including President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris. The campaign reportedly involves fake news outlets, including Savannah Time, NioThinker, and Westland Sun, managed by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). These outlets spread content aimed at discrediting US democratic processes. The US intelligence community confirmed Iranian hacking attempts on Trump’s campaign, which Tehran denies.

  1. Data of 20 Iranian Banks Hacked in Worst-Ever Cyberattack  

Iran paid $3 million in ransom to prevent the release of data from over 20 hacked banks, Politico reported, confirming an earlier report from Iran International. The cyberattack, deemed the “worst-ever” against Iran’s banking system, targeted 20 out of 29 active credit institutions. The hacker group IRLeaks infiltrated the system through Tosan, a digital services provider. Among the affected banks are the Bank of Industry and Mines, Iran Zamin Bank, and Saman. This follows previous attacks by IRLeaks, exposing vulnerabilities in Iran’s data security infrastructure.

  1. Iran-Russia Tensions Rise Over Zangezur Corridor Project  

Iran has expressed strong opposition to the Zangezur corridor project, which links Azerbaijan with Nakhchivan, bypassing Armenia. Iranian officials warned Russia about the geopolitical consequences, urging Moscow to reconsider its support for the corridor. Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov criticized Armenia’s resistance to the project, which is backed by Russia, Azerbaijan, and Turkey to enhance regional connectivity. Iran remains firm against changes to regional borders, fearing that the project could block its only land route to northern countries like Russia. Iranian media have escalated their rhetoric, signaling rising tensions between Tehran and Moscow.

  1. US-Iranian Citizen Arrested for Smuggling UAV Parts to Iran

US authorities arrested Gholam Reza Goodarzi, a dual US-Iranian citizen, for smuggling UAV components from the United States to Iran. Goodarzi, also known as Ron Goodarzi, used proxy destinations and concealed parts in luggage to smuggle military technology. Investigations revealed that from December 2020 to July 2023, Goodarzi smuggled aircraft components to Iran through various proxy locations. If convicted, Goodarzi could face up to 10 years in prison and a $250,000 fine for illegal exports threatening US security. This arrest is part of broader US efforts to stop Iran from acquiring advanced military technology illegally.

  1. Tehran Mayor Visits Damascus to Strengthen Bilateral Cooperation

Tehran Mayor Alireza Zakani arrived in Damascus, leading a senior delegation, welcomed by Damascus Governor Muhammad Tariq Krishati. Krishati viewed the visit as a step toward enhancing cooperation between the capitals of Iran and Syria on multiple levels. He expressed hope for new collaboration during the Syrian Exports Exhibition, with Tehran Mayor Zakani as a special guest. Zakani anticipated that meetings would lead to constructive agreements, strengthening cooperation and shared goals between the cities. The Tehran Mayor will meet Syria’s prime minister and key ministers to discuss internal affairs, economy, and foreign trade.

  1. Exclusive: Iran-U.S. Secret Talks Fail, Enabling Tehran’s Nuclear and Military Gains

Recent developments suggest a potential collusion between the Biden administration and Iran initiated in May 2024. During that time, the U.S., via White House Middle East advisor Brett McGurk, held indirect talks with Iran’s Chief Nuclear Negotiator. The talks mainly focused on incentives to return to the Obama-era JCPOA guidelines and pleas for regional de-escalations. 

These talks coincided with reports that Iran is funding anti-American and anti-Israel protests in the U.S. Iran also continued enriching uranium, with the IAEA estimating it could produce three to five nuclear weapons within three months

Furthermore, Iran during these talks not only continued to supply Russia with drones but was also reported to provide 400 ballistic missiles. Tehran is expected to provide Moscow with more ballistics soon, according to Bloomberg. Lastly, on September 2, 2024, Iran unveiled its Soleiman-402 battle tank, an upgraded version of the U.S.-made M60 model

In the Middle East, Iran destabilizes Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan to gain access to Israel’s longest border. Additionally, by supporting the Houthis, Iran caused a 70% drop in Suez Canal shipping, while also aiming for control over the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea. To further its influence, Iran is establishing air and naval bases in Syria to project power across the Mediterranean and Red seas.

Former President Donald Trump and Senator Lindsey Graham have expressed deep concerns about Iran’s nuclear ambitions, with Trump warning that Iran’s capabilities could threaten Israel’s existence. Graham has introduced legislation to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, citing intelligence that suggests Iran is close to achieving this capability. Both leaders called for stringent measures to deter Iran’s progress, emphasizing the potential regional and global threats posed by a nuclear-armed Iran. Immediately after President Trump’s warning, Khamenei directed Iran’s president to allow the IAEA Director to resume halted inspections.

The meetings between the Biden administration and Iran—whether direct or indirect, secret or disclosed, treasonous or capitulatory—yielded no positive outcomes. Instead, they allowed Iran to expand its influence into regions it had never previously dreamed of controlling. 

  1. Iran Attacks U.S., Israel, Azerbaijan Web Sectors

Iranian hackers, collaborating with ransomware gangs, are stealing sensitive data from American, Israeli, and Azerbaijani educational, medical, and defense sectors. Hackers exploit software vulnerabilities, infiltrate networks to steal databases, and disable security measures, leaving them vulnerable to further attacks. 

  1. Iran Seeks $250 Billion for Growth With Depleted Funds

Iran needs $250 billion to achieve 8% growth, with over half expected from domestic sources, and $100 billion from foreign investment, says Iran’s new President. This investment aims to revitalize key sectors like energy, infrastructure, and high-tech industries to reduce inflation and unemployment. During a TV interview, Pezeshkian announced Khamenei’s approval to withdraw $5.8 billion from Iran’s National Development Fund (NDF). The government’s debt to the NDF is nearly $100 billion. The September 2024 withdrawal reduced the fund’s balance to $4.2 billion. Experts criticize Pezeshkian’s economic plan as unoriginal, repeating past promises without offering innovative solutions, risking public disillusionment. The reality often overlooked is that neither the new president nor his predecessors have the leverage to gain approvals for alternative plans.

  1. Iran’s Quds Force Sanctioned by Britain Over UK Destabilization Plot  

Iran’s Quds Force, a special unit of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, has been sanctioned by Britain for planning destabilizing activities within the UK. The UK government’s updated black-list now includes Unit 700 of the Quds Force, along with key figures such as Hamid Fazeli, Abdolfattah Ahvazian, and Bahnam Shahriari. These individuals are accused of engaging in hostile actions targeting the UK, as well as involvement in destabilizing efforts in Israel, Iraq, Yemen, and Lebanon. The sanctions involve entry bans and asset freezes. The UK’s Iran sanctions list now includes 27 legal entities and 190 individuals.

  1. Iran Retaliates Against Germany by Closing Tehran Language Institute

Iran closed the German Language Institute in Tehran, retaliating for Germany’s shutdown of the Islamic Center Hamburg. Iran accused the institute of illegal activities and promoting Western influence. The closure reflects escalating tensions between the two nations, each targeting the other’s cultural institutions in a tit-for-tat diplomatic conflict. Germany condemned the closure, viewing it as unjustified and a hindrance to cultural exchange.

  1. Iran: Khamenei Vows Eternal War on Sunni, Arab ‘Yazidis’

On August 25, 2024, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei stirred deeper sectarian divisions via posts on X. He depicted an ongoing religious conflict between the justice-seeking “Husseini front”, Shiites and the oppressive “Yazidi front.”, Sunnis and Arabs. Khamenei emphasized this battle as a moral duty against tyranny, pledging opposition against ‘oppressors’ indefinitely. This narrative reflects Iran’s support for Assad in Syria, criticized for exacerbating sectarian conflicts. The Syrian Islamic Council refuted Khamenei’s portrayal of Sunnis, highlighting their enduring commitment to justice and condemning Iranian-backed forces’ actions. They called on the media to expose and counter Iran’s divisive strategies, underscoring the implications for regional peace.

  1. Iranian Merchant Ship Capsizes in Kuwaiti Waters, Six Crew Members Dead  

An Iranian merchant ship capsized in Kuwaiti waters, killing six crew members of Indian and Iranian nationality. Three bodies have been recovered, while search efforts continue for the remaining victims. The cause of the incident remains unknown.

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★ IRAQ

 

  1. Iraq Faces Economic Challenges, Energy Reforms, Sanctions, Reduced Exports

Iraq’s economic stability is at risk as oil exports to the U.S. dropped to 153,000 barrels daily, 13,000 barrels lower than the previous week. Falling oil prices threaten Iraq’s government revenues, potentially leading to funding shortages. These shortages could cause delays in public services and essential government programs. To address these risks, Iraq plans to offer 10 new gas exploration areas to U.S. companies during an upcoming visit. These efforts aim to diversify Iraq’s energy sources and reduce its reliance on Iranian gas imports. Iraq’s gas investment rates are projected to increase to 70% by the end of 2024. Meanwhile, a high-level delegation from Iraq’s central bank visited the U.S. to discuss easing sanctions on 18 Iraqi banks. The sanctions, tied to money laundering and connections to Iran, have destabilized Iraq’s banking system and weakened the dinar’s value.

  1. Iraq’s Security at Risk: ISIS, Drug Trafficking, and U.S. Withdrawal

The joint U.S.-Iraqi raid on August 29, which killed 15 ISIS fighters, underlines ongoing efforts against ISIS. However, Iraq’s reliance on U.S. intelligence and military support remains critical for containing the terrorist threat. The expanding drug trafficking networks, now transitioning Iraq from a transit point to a producer, present an even greater internal risk. Without U.S. assistance in counter-narcotics and border security, these networks could destabilize Iraq further. Political factions are divided on the U.S. troop withdrawal, with some leaders expressing concerns over national security. Regional tensions are also increasing, highlighted by Iraqi drone attacks on Israel. These growing security challenges threaten Iraq’s stability and its regional role. 

  1. Iraq-Turkey Trade Thrives Despite Tensions, Joint Anti-Terrorism Efforts

Despite ongoing conflicts, Iraq remains Turkey’s top importer, ranking fourth in overall trade volume. Economic measures against Turkey, such as land occupation and water disputes, have proven ineffective, partly due to poor coordination between Iraq’s central government and the Kurdistan Region, which controls the borders. Alongside trade, Iraq and Turkey are also collaborating on anti-terrorism efforts. Both nations are investigating the downing of a Turkish drone in Kirkuk and are committed to strengthening security measures. This partnership extends to the “Development Road” project, aiming to enhance regional stability and support global economic development. Meanwhile, Iraq’s customs also reported a 138% increase in imports from Iran over the past five months of 2024. 

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★ Syria

 

  1. Assad’s Covert Control Over 19 Critical Infrastructure Sectors Exposed

Recent reports reveal Bashar al-Assad’s covert control over 19 essential infrastructure sectors in Syria. This strategic control helps Assad effectively evade international sanctions. The affected sectors, crucial to Syria’s economic and security framework, include energy, telecommunications, and transportation. These sectors are crucial for daily operations and national security, directly impacting Syria’s economy and public services.

  1. Assad Regime’s Fourth Drug Trafficking Attempt Thwarted

The Assad regime’s fourth drug trafficking attempt in a week continues to rise. On August 31, 2024, Jordanian authorities intercepted several attempts, underscoring the escalating drug trafficking threat. Another 35,000 pills were seized in the latest operation. Previously, building materials concealed 147,000 pills, a vehicle hid 200,000, and food items at border points contained 40,000. 

  1. Syria: Golan Heights Now Occupied by 15 Russian Monitoring Points

In response to over 180 Israeli airstrikes on Syria, Russia has expanded its military presence in the region. This strategic move involves establishing 15 monitoring points across the Golan Heights, significantly increasing Russia’s footprint in this contentious area. These points, positioned under the guise of reducing regional tensions, particularly those sparked by conflicts between Israel and Hezbollah, serve a dual purpose. They ostensibly aim to monitor and mitigate hostilities, but also strategically assert Russian presence in contentious areas, leveraging Israeli military actions as a pretext for expanding their influence in this geopolitically sensitive region.

  1. Syria: Lavrov Cautions SDF on U.S. Reliability

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov warned Syria’s Self-Administration of potentially facing a fate similar to the U.S.-abandoned Afghans in 2021. Lavrov criticized the U.S. presence in northeastern Syria for destabilizing the region and attempting to establish a quasi-state entity. He accused Washington of failing in counterterrorism and of protecting zones that benefit economically from oil, gas, and grain exports. Urging the Kurds to negotiate with the Syrian government, Lavrov highlighted the unreliability of U.S. support and warned of serious consequences.

  1. Syria: Russian Center Cites Major Airspace Violations by Coalition Forces

In August, the Russian Reconciliation Center in Syria reported a significant number of airspace violations, documenting 360 instances by the U.S.-led coalition aircraft over the Al-Tanf region. Deputy Chief Oleg Ignatov highlighted the risks these incursions pose, including the potential for aerial incidents and heightened tensions within Syrian airspace. The center accused the coalition of breaching deconfliction protocols, raising alarms about possible military clashes. Additionally, Russia has intensified operations against militants in Homs and Deir Ezzor, criticizing the coalition for allegedly supporting ISIS cells. The report also noted a specific incident involving a U.S. drone and multiple violations by coalition aircraft in a single day.

  1. Syria: Defense Minister Bolsters Iran Alliance Against Israeli Actions

Syrian Defense Minister Ali Mahmoud Abbas reaffirmed Syria’s alliance with Iran against Israel, emphasizing their “Axis of Resistance” cooperation. Abbas lauded Iran’s support since 2011, highlighting their shared security interests and united front against Israel’s regional maneuvers. He stressed that ongoing cooperation with Iran fortifies their stance against mutual adversaries, underpinning their commitment to regional stability. However, reports suggest tensions between Damascus and Tehran regarding Syria’s hesitance to engage directly in the conflict with Israel over Gaza.

  1. Syria: Iranian Newspaper Foresees Assad Regime’s Collapse

Iranian publication Aftab News predicts the downfall of Assad’s government, linking it to Russia’s challenges in Ukraine and reduced Iranian backing. The report points out potential economic and geopolitical repercussions for Putin, Assad, and Tehran, due to rapid regional and global shifts. Criticizing Iran’s strategies, the article connects Putin’s expensive war in Ukraine and Assad’s severe economic crisis. It also marks Ukraine’s recent penetration into Russian lands as the first such instance since World War II.

  1. Syria: U.S. Imposes Visa Bans on Officials for Enforced Disappearances

The U.S. imposed visa restrictions on 14 Syrian officials involved in forced disappearances. This action coincides with the International Day of Victims of Enforced Disappearances. The U.S. State Department stated the move demonstrates solidarity with victims and seeks to hold perpetrators accountable. These restrictions add to earlier sanctions against 21 Syrian officials and their families, announced in 2023 and 2024. The State Department highlighted that over 96,000 individuals, including women and children, remain unaccounted for due to systematic human rights abuses by the Syrian regime.

  1. Syria: Upcoming Talks with Turkey to Revise Adana Agreement

Syrian media has announced upcoming discussions between Syria and Turkey aimed at revising the Adana Agreement to foster enhanced cooperation. A diplomatic source indicated that Russia has likely set the agenda for these talks, expected by late September. Key topics will include identifying terrorist groups, establishing a Syria-Turkey mechanism to combat terrorism, and setting a timeline for the withdrawal of Turkish troops. Revising the Adana Agreement for better border security will also be a major focus. The source noted that all agenda items require approval from concerned parties, especially Syria, with Russia emphasizing the importance of Turkish troop withdrawal.

  1. Syria: U.S. Army and SDF Recapture Escaped ISIS Leader

The U.S. Army, with support from the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), successfully recaptured ISIS leader Khalid Ahmad al-Dandal early Sunday morning. Al-Dandal, who had recently escaped from a detention center in Raqqa, is accused of aiding detained fighters. The capture followed the escape of five foreign ISIS fighters from the same facility on August 29, of whom SDF recaptured two while three remain at large. The ongoing efforts of the U.S. and SDF are crucial in preventing further escapes, as over 9,000 ISIS detainees still pose a significant threat in SDF-controlled centers across Syria.

  1. Syria: Pakistan Opens Honorary Consulate in Homs Amid Diplomatic Growth

Pakistan has inaugurated an honorary consulate in Homs, Syria, appointing Muhammad Labeeb Al-Ikhwan as the honorary consul for the province. This development marks a significant shift in Pakistan-Syria relations which have evolved since the 2011 Syrian uprising. Initially maintaining a neutral stance, Pakistan has, since 2015, increasingly supported the Syrian regime, strengthening ties amid broader regional alliances with Iran and Russia. The reopening of Pakistan’s embassy in Damascus in 2018 further underscored these deepening diplomatic relations, driven by regional partnerships that support the Syrian government.

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★ TURKIYE

 

  1. Turkish Political Group Attack Two American Soldiers in Izmir

In Izmir, Turkey, members of the Turkish Youth Union, a political group tied to the National Opposition Party, attacked two American soldiers in civilian clothes. The soldiers had just arrived from a U.S. base and were heading to a hotel. The attackers placed bags over their heads, reminiscent of a 2003 incident in Iraq involving Turkish soldiers. They justified the attack by accusing the soldiers of having “Palestinian blood on their hands” due to U.S. involvement in the Gaza conflict. Turkish authorities quickly arrested the attackers, but tensions between Turkey and the U.S. remain strained. 

  1. Turkish Intelligence Arrests Kosovan Allegedly Managing Mossad’s Financial Network

Turkish intelligence arrested a Kosovan national, Liridon Rexhepi, alleging he is the Mossad financial network manager in Turkiye. Rexhepi is accused of transferring funds to Mossad agents for intelligence operations. The Turkish National Intelligence Organization (MIT) detected suspicious transactions involving numerous Western Union transfers to Mossad operatives. Rexhepi allegedly entered Turkiye on August 25, 2024, and was arrested in Istanbul five days later. During interrogation, Rexhepi reportedly admitted to managing these transactions, with MIT revealing Mossad agents using Eastern Europe and cryptocurrency for transfers.

  1. Turkiye Arrests 119 Suspected ISIS Members in Major Operation

Turkish Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya announced the arrest of 119 suspected ISIS members during the ‘Gürz-10’ operation spanning 23 provinces. The five-day coordinated effort involved police and counter-terrorism units, reflecting Turkey’s sustained commitment to eliminating terrorism within its borders. Additionally, seven Syrian nationals were detained in Izmir for alleged ISIS ties. In a related operation, Istanbul’s counter-terrorism forces captured an ISIS member who had entered Turkey illegally from Syria and was planning an attack.

  1. Turkiye’s Diplomacy Met With 621,000 Captagon Pills From Assad

Turkiye confirmed willingness to discuss troops from Syria. Turkish intelligence officials already held discussions with the Assad regime on refugee returns and anti-terrorism measures. The Assad regime still insists on a clear plan for the final withdrawal of Turkish forces before normalizing relations with Ankara. Russia’s Foreign Minister Lavrov announced upcoming meetings with Iran, Turkiye, and Assad regime representatives, scheduled for the near future. Despite Turkiye’s efforts to normalize relations with the Assad regime, Turkish authorities foiled a major drug smuggling operation through Assad-controlled Syrian territories after a two-month investigation. Turkish intelligence, alongside local military factions in northern Syria, arrested 26 members of a drug trafficking gang. Authorities seized 621,000 Captagon pills, 50 kilograms of hashish, and 208 grams of methamphetamine during the operation

  1. Erdogan Highlights Turkish Military Successes And Commitment To Jerusalem

Turkiye’s strategic regional influence continues to expand despite historical tensions with the Turkish leader. President Erdogan during a speech at the National Defense University highlighted the Turkish military field successes in Syria, northern Iraq, Libya, and Somalia. He, as always, stressed Turkiye’s unwavering  commitment to Palestine’s Jerusalem. 

  1. Turkiye’s Steel Dome Superior Alternative, Vital for National Security

Turkiye’s increasing regional autonomy and ambition to compete in the global defense market was highlighted by Erdogan’s “Steel Dome” announcement. This advanced air defense system demonstrates Turkiye’s efforts to strengthen its military capabilities and reduce reliance on Western technologies. The “Steel Dome” mirrors Israel’s “Iron Dome,” but Turkey aims for greater sophistication by integrating radar, AI, and advanced communication systems. President Erdogan stated that the “Steel Dome” would be a superior alternative to current defense systems, vital for Turkiye’s security.

  1. Turkiye’s Trade Growth Overshadowed by 51.4% Inflation Crisis

Turkiye’s economic successes in trade and energy agreements are overshadowed by persistent inflation, high interest rates, and market volatility. The country faces the challenge of balancing inflation control while maintaining growth and financial stability. Exports grew significantly, leading the G20 in services export growth, and the trade deficit decreased by 43.4%. Energy deals with Shell and ExxonMobil strengthened energy security, yet inflation, driven by the lira’s depreciation, sits at 51.4%. The Borsa Istanbul index dropped by 8.2% in August. Foreign capital outflows and corporate profit declines add to economic uncertainty.

  1. Turkiye Seeks BRICS Over EU Stalls, NATO Tensions, Economic Gains 

Turkiye has officially applied to join BRICS, seeking to expand its global influence and relations beyond Western allies. President Erdoğan’s government sees the world shifting toward a multipolar system, pursuing stronger ties outside advanced economies. Turkiye applied after frustration with stalled EU membership talks and disagreements with NATO, particularly over Russia relations. BRICS includes Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, recently adding Iran, UAE, Ethiopia, and Egypt. China, aiming to increase its global power, has led the BRICS expansion by courting countries aligned with the U.S.

  1. Türkiye Intensifies PKK Operations, Destroying Targets in Iraq and Syria

Turkey eliminated 17 PKK terrorists in Iraq and Syria, while airstrikes destroyed 20 PKK targets in northern Iraq. The operations focused on PKK bases and neutralized several militants. President Erdoğan emphasized closing the security loop on the PKK, which remains a significant threat, especially near the Turkish border. Turkey’s recent military cooperation with Iraq also strengthens their joint efforts against Kurdish separatists.

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★ YEMEN

 

 

  1. Houthis Carry Four New Attacks After Sounion

The Houthis remain undeterred by the presence of Western warships and recent U.S. and British airstrikes in northwestern Yemen. Over the past five days, they have escalated attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea. On Saturday, the Houthis targeted the Liberian-flagged cargo ship “Grotton” with ballistic missiles, causing significant damage. They also struck the oil tanker “Blue Lagoon I” using missiles and drones, claiming it violated bans on entering Israeli-occupied ports. On Monday, two additional oil tankers were attacked 70 nautical miles from Saleef port in northern Yemen. Three ballistic missiles hit one tanker, but no major damage or injuries occurred, allowing both vessels to continue. In response, U.S. Central Command destroyed Houthi missile systems, drones, and boats. This included neutralizing two missile systems after the Houthi attack on the Saudi-flagged tanker “Amjad” and Panama-flagged “Blue Lagoon” in the Red Sea.

  1. Sounion Oil Spill 2.2 Miles, Rescue Mission Abandoned

Sounion Oil Tanker Leak Aug 30 2024

Two weeks after the Houthi attack on Sounion, the vessel carrying one million barrels of oil still burns. Greece sent a letter to the United Nations on August 30, warning of a possible 2.2-mile oil leak. Satellite images detected the leak, raising concerns of a potential environmental disaster in the Red Sea. Private companies hired to tow the ship abandoned the mission after two days, citing serious safety concerns. The Pentagon warned that an oil spill from Sounion could be nearly four times larger than the Exxon Valdez disaster. The Houthis claim their attacks target ships linked to Israel, the US, or the UK, but experts disagree. Yemeni analysts on Al Hadath Channel stated that Sounion has never carried or docked cargo at Israeli ports. Sounion is the third Greek Delta vessel attacked this month, following similar attacks on Delta Blue and Atlantica by the Houthis. On ground, the Houthis seized two commercial power stations in Ibb, Yemen. 

  1. Houthis Seek Russian Military Equipment Under Wheat Purchase Cover

Houthi leader Ali Al-Hadi visited Russia under the pretext of purchasing wheat, but sources confirm his mission was military. As head of the Houthi Chamber of Commerce, Al-Hadi is crucial in acquiring banned materials. His visit coincided with Houthi Foreign Minister Shaye Al-Zindani’s trip to discuss mutual interests with Russia. Although Russia had halted arms shipments to the Houthis, reports suggest shipments may resume after Ukraine’s attack on the Kursk. U.S. officials tracked Russian military personnel entering Houthi-controlled Yemen in July. Russian ships were seen stopping unusually in the southern Red Sea, with personnel later transferred to Houthi boats.

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★ THE GULF

 

  1. UAE Invests in U.S., Jordan, Supplies Half Japan’s Oil

The UAE is expanding its global influence with strategic investments. ADNOC acquired a 35% stake in ExxonMobil’s Texas project, focusing on carbon capture and emission reduction. A $2.3 billion rail project with Jordan aims to enhance trade and logistics. Additionally, ACWA Power’s $682 million desalination plant in Sharjah supports regional water sustainability. The UAE also supplied 31.07 million barrels of oil to Japan in July 2024, making up nearly half of Japan’s oil imports. The UAE’s non-oil sector saw growth with increased orders, reaching a 60% increase since 2020. Pakistan’s exports to the UAE increased by 7.74% in July 2024, making the country second top export destinations. The United States, however, remained the leading destination with exports totalling $476.01 million, marking a 7.26% rise. The United Kingdom followed, with exports valued at $183.3 million.

  1. Saudi Aramco Gains, Fintech Grows, ACWA Power Secures Solar Funding

Aramco’s stock saw over 15 million shares traded, rising to 28 SAR. Despite this, the stock remains 20% lower than its September value of 34.9 SAR. Al Rajhi Capital targets a price of 33 SAR, while Aljazira Capital targets 32 SAR. Saudi Arabia reached $1.9 billion in fintech investment by Q2 2024, exceeding targets with 224 companies. The first Fintech Conference brings leaders together to discuss growth and innovation. ACWA Power secured $2.6 billion for three solar projects in Mecca and Qassim, with a combined 3,500 MW capacity.

  1. Qatar Expands Trade, Faces GDP Dip, Doubles Urea Production

Trade between Qatar and Sweden rose by 79% in 2023, reaching 1.55 billion Qatari Riyals. Qatar is encouraging Swedish investment in food, energy, and IT sectors. Qatar’s economy contracted 0.04% year-on-year in Q4 2023, with GDP at QAR 176.8 billion. Non-oil sectors grew by 1.7%, but a 3.1% decline in mining impacted overall performance. Qatar Energy will double urea production to 12.4 million tons, becoming the world’s largest exporter. A new complex in Mesaieed Industrial City will boost output and global exports before 2030.

  1. Oman Expands Oil and Gas Exploration with New Agreement with Daleel Petroleum

Oman signed an agreement with Daleel Petroleum to operate Block 15 in Al Dhahirah, supporting its oil and gas exploration strategy. By March 2024, Oman’s oil exports reached 78.8 million barrels at $79.7 per barrel. The number of operational oil and gas fields rose to 405 in 2023, up from 380 in 2022. Refined oil production also increased to 224 million barrels in 2023.

=================

★ EGYPT & NORTH AFRICA

 

  1. Egypt’s Non-Oil Growth Leads Economic Recovery, Exports, Energy Surge

Egypt’s non-oil private sector grew for the first time in four years, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index reaching 50.4 in August. Engineering exports also surged by 29.9%, hitting $3.05 billion between January and July 2024. British BP will increase Egypt’s gas production by 200 million cubic feet daily in October, with additional expansion planned for February. Egypt approved Masdar’s $900 million solar project to build 1,000 megawatts of capacity in southern Egypt. Egypt’s government reaffirmed its commitment to Somalia’s territorial integrity, and diplomatic tensions escalated over Ethiopia’s unilateral moves on the GERD.

  1. Sisi’s Ankara Visit Marks Turning Point in Egypt-Turkey Relations

Egyptian President Sisi visited Ankara, marking a turning point in Turkish-Egyptian relations. Turkish President Erdoğan personally received Sisi at Ankara Esenboğa Airport, a gesture violating Turkish protocol. This visit followed 12 years of strained ties after the Muslim Brotherhood’s ousting in Egypt. Social media reacted strongly, with some calling the meeting a historic moment that could reshape Middle Eastern and African politics. Others saw it as a sign of unity against injustice, particularly regarding Palestine. Sisi expressed happiness with the visit, emphasizing the deep historical ties between Egypt and Turkey. This visit follows Erdoğan’s February trip to Cairo.

  1. Egypt’s Defensive Stance on Israel, Strengthens Military Ties with Qatar

Egypt reaffirmed its opposition to Israeli military presence along the Philadelphi Route, maintaining its firm stance in ongoing ceasefire talks. An Egyptian official confirmed Cairo’s rejection of any Israeli deployment, emphasizing its unchanged position after recent Israeli security discussions. Simultaneously, Egypt is strengthening military cooperation with Qatar to address shared regional security concerns. Egyptian Chief of Staff General Ahmed Khalifa met with Qatari officials in Doha, focusing on coordinated defense strategies. The discussions aimed to enhance joint efforts on critical security challenges affecting both nations, reinforcing Egypt’s proactive role in regional stability.

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★ Libya

 

  1. Libya’s Oil Output Falls Due to Political Disputes, U.S. Pressure

Libya’s oil sector is in turmoil due to political disputes between eastern and western governments, causing a 63% drop in production. The crisis stems from the central bank governor’s removal, which led to field closures and halted exports at key ports. U.S. diplomatic pressure prompted the resumption of production at three fields—Sarir, Messla, and Nafoora—though output remains reduced. Libya’s National Oil Corporation faces major challenges in restoring production. Despite this, global oil prices have declined, driven more by China’s economic concerns than Libya’s disruptions. Brent crude futures dropped to $73.47 as market volatility continues.

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★ Algeria

 

  1. Algeria Joins BRICS Bank, Arrests Espionage Suspects Before Election

Algeria has been approved to join the New Development Bank, part of the BRICS group, further strengthening its global economic ties. Dilma Rousseff, the bank’s president, confirmed the decision following the BRICS annual meeting in Cape Town. Algeria’s inclusion highlights the bank’s commitment to expanding membership and fostering international economic cooperation. Meanwhile, Algeria is addressing security concerns ahead of its September 7 presidential elections. Several individuals, including four Moroccans, were arrested for alleged espionage against Algeria. The suspects, charged with compromising national security, remain in custody. 

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